Idioma:Español
Atlas v Atlante FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlas (Local)
Predicción 50.10%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.916%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.57%49.91%50.12%52.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.871.881.9657.14%53.48%53.19%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlante FC (Visitante)
Predicción 22.93%4.36momio equitativo
EV +2.72%
Ventaja +0.608%
Kelly +0.782%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.34%23.09%22.93%26.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.873.804.4829.85%25.84%26.32%22.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.97%3.71momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -0.812%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.08%27.00%26.95%28.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.383.403.6031.75%29.55%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlas (Local): 50.10%; Atlante FC (Visitante): 22.93%; Empate: 26.97%. Para Atlante FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.36. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.48, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.72%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.77%EV -5.30%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.42%EV +2.72%E +0.608%K +0.782%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 02:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%EV -0.258%E -0.059%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -2.92%E -0.812%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 02:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -0.258%E -0.059%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.92%EV -3.19%E -0.889%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 02:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -0.258%E -0.059%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.92%EV -3.19%E -0.889%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 02:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.84%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.26%EV -0.487%E -0.112%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.91%EV -3.19%E -0.889%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 02:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -12.32%E -7.04%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -1.40%E -0.327%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 02:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.45%EV -6.81%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.70%E -0.880%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 02:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.70%E -0.880%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 02:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.70%E -0.880%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 02:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.70%E -0.880%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 02:53 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -3.30%E -1.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.72%EV -4.61%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.30%EV -9.93%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 02:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.73%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.90%EV -4.84%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 02:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 02:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 02:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -7.31%E -3.95%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.31%E -3.95%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.28%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 02:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.31%E -3.95%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.28%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 02:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.28%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 02:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.28%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 02:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.28%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 02:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.17%EV -10.81%E -6.08%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.23%EV -11.55%E -3.52%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 02:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 02:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 03:02 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 02:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.71%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 02:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.71%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 02:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.71%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 02:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.71%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 02:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.53%EV -11.31%E -6.39%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -13.71%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-06 03:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -1.79%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.16%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 02:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -7.31%E -3.95%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -15.16%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 02:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -1.79%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -16.31%E -4.47%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 03:02 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -16.31%E -4.47%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 02:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -2.80%E -1.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -17.45%E -4.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 02:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.30%E -1.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -17.45%E -4.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 02:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.30%E -1.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -17.45%E -4.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 02:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.30%E -1.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -17.45%E -4.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 02:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -17.45%E -4.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.62%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 03:02 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -17.45%E -4.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -18.60%E -5.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.27%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 03:02 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.36%EV -3.30%E -1.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -18.60%E -5.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 03:02 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.36%EV -3.30%E -1.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -18.60%E -5.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 03:02 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.36%EV -3.30%E -1.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -18.60%E -5.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 03:02 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -3.80%E -1.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -20.89%E -6.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -20.89%E -6.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 02:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -22.04%E -6.48%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 03:02 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -22.04%E -6.48%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.01%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 03:02 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.15%EV -8.81%E -4.84%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.61%EV -23.19%E -6.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.24%EV -15.06%E -4.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-06 02:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 02:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 02:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 02:55 |