L’École des cotes

Sligo Rovers v St Patricks Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

Score final : Sligo Rovers 1–1 St Patricks Athletic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Prévision 16.17%6.19cote équitable
EV +0.871%
Avantage +0.140%
Kelly +0.166%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 6.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.80%16.24%16.10%17.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.465.506.2420.41%18.32%18.18%16.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St Patricks Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.00%1.67cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -3.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.48%59.79%60.10%60.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.561.551.6369.44%64.18%64.52%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.83%4.20cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -0.559%
Kelly -0.739%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.80%23.97%23.80%25.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.733.704.1029.41%26.80%27.03%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle6.24I 16.03%NM 15.37%EV +0.871%E +0.140%K +0.166%G +0.001%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.71%EV -5.19%E -3.29%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.92%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 15:50
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV +0.224%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.39%EV -8.79%E -5.79%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -11.82%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 14:40
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.01%E -0.501%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -6.39%E -4.10%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -2.29%E -0.559%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 14:48
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.01%E -0.501%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.59%E -4.93%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 15:35
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -3.01%E -0.501%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -9.99%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.82%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-04 15:35
LowVig.ag5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.63%E -0.784%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.99%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 14:40
BetOnline.ag5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -4.63%E -0.784%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.99%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 14:40
Marathon Bet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -4.63%E -0.784%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.57%EV -7.59%E -4.93%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:34
William Hill5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -6.24%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -6.99%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.82%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:50
NordicBet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%EV -7.86%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.99%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 15:25
Betsson5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%EV -7.86%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.99%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 15:24
Bovada5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.04%EV -8.19%E -5.36%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 15:35
BetAnything5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.04%EV -8.19%E -5.36%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 15:34
BetUS5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.04%EV -8.19%E -5.36%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 15:35
1xBet5.57I 17.95%NM 16.75%EV -9.96%E -1.79%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -6.99%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -3.48%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:50
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.99%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 15:34
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.39%E -4.10%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.63%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 13:35
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.39%E -4.10%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.63%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 13:35
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.19%E -5.36%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 15:34
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -6.99%E -4.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-04 15:24
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.19%E -5.36%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -10.63%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:34
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.19%E -5.36%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-04 13:35
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -9.99%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -9.99%E -6.66%K -19.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -18.97%E -5.58%K -7.91%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-04 15:34
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -11.09%E -2.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.27%EV -11.79%E -8.02%K -25.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -16.59%E -4.74%K -6.64%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-04 15:24
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -14.32%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -8.79%E -5.79%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 15:24
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.36%EV -14.32%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.21%EV -13.59%E -9.44%K -30.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.43%EV -11.82%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-04 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.13%E -2.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -8.19%E -5.36%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.82%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 15:34
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.13%E -2.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -8.19%E -5.36%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.82%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.13%E -2.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -8.19%E -5.36%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.82%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 15:34
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.13%E -2.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -8.19%E -5.36%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.82%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 15:34
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -15.94%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -2.19%E -1.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:40
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -15.94%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -2.19%E -1.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:40
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -15.94%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -2.19%E -1.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:40
BetRivers5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -15.94%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -2.19%E -1.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:40
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -15.94%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -2.19%E -1.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:40
Casumo5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -15.94%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -2.19%E -1.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:40
LeoVegas5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -15.94%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -2.19%E -1.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:40
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -15.94%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -2.19%E -1.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:40
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -15.94%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -2.19%E -1.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:40
betPARX5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -15.94%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -2.19%E -1.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:40
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -15.94%E -3.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -2.19%E -1.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -17.56%E -3.44%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.72%EV -3.39%E -2.11%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-04 14:40
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.78%EV -5.19%E -3.29%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -15.40%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-04 14:40
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.78%EV -5.19%E -3.29%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -15.40%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-04 14:40
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.33%EV -11.19%E -7.56%K -23.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-04 15:24
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -20.79%E -4.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -6.39%E -4.10%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -17.78%E -5.15%K -7.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-04 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-04 15:55
Matchbook7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-05-04 15:55