La escuela de los momios

Sligo Rovers v Bohemians

Inicio: 2026-05-29 18:45 UTC

Final: Sligo Rovers 1–3 Bohemians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Predicción 15.66%6.39momio equitativo
EV +3.33%
Ventaja +0.505%
Kelly +0.595%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.19%15.66%15.76%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.105.896.006.6019.61%16.97%16.67%15.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bohemians (Visitante)

Predicción 61.41%1.63momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -2.28%
Kelly -6.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.78%61.40%61.35%62.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.501.5771.43%67.10%66.67%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.93%4.36momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.89%22.94%22.89%24.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.953.954.2027.78%25.34%25.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle6.60I 15.15%NM 14.52%EV +3.33%E +0.505%K +0.595%G +0.020%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.62%EV -6.04%E -3.94%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.87%EV -3.93%E -0.937%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 18:39
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV +1.77%E +0.272%K +0.321%G +0.006%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -9.72%E -6.61%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.28%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 18:10
Unibet (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -2.15%E -0.344%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:00
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -2.15%E -0.344%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:00
Grosvenor6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -2.15%E -0.344%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:00
Casumo6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -2.15%E -0.344%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:00
Unibet (NL)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -2.15%E -0.344%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:00
Unibet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -2.15%E -0.344%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 17:59
TABtouch6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -2.15%E -0.344%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:00
betPARX6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -2.15%E -0.344%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 17:59
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -2.15%E -0.344%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:00
ATG (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -2.15%E -0.344%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 17:59
LowVig.ag6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -2.93%E -0.473%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -7.26%E -4.81%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.28%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 18:19
BetOnline.ag6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -2.93%E -0.473%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -7.26%E -4.81%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.28%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 18:19
BetRivers6.10I 16.39%NM 15.08%EV -4.50%E -0.737%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.33%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.91%EV -4.50%E -0.737%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%EV -9.11%E -6.15%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -11.72%E -3.04%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 18:00
1xBet6.07I 16.47%NM 15.43%EV -4.97%E -0.818%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.01%EV -7.26%E -4.81%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -4.84%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 18:19
Marathon Bet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -5.28%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.14%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.84%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 18:19
Coolbet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.06%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -8.28%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 18:19
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.06%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -6.04%E -3.94%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.70%E -0.880%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 18:29
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.06%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.28%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:19
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.06%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 18:19
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.06%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 18:20
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -6.06%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.44%EV -10.33%E -7.08%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:00
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -6.06%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.44%EV -10.33%E -7.08%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:00
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.06%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.56%E -8.03%K -26.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-29 18:19
PMU (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -9.19%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.43%EV -12.18%E -8.52%K -28.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-29 18:00
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -9.11%E -6.15%K -18.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.70%E -0.880%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 17:19
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -8.49%E -5.70%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 18:18
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -8.49%E -5.70%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 18:20
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -8.49%E -5.70%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 18:29
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.28%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 18:29
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.28%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 17:58
Sky Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.32%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.18%EV -11.56%E -8.03%K -26.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-29 18:19
Betsson5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -10.76%E -1.89%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.90%EV -6.65%E -4.37%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:29
NordicBet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -10.76%E -1.89%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.90%EV -6.65%E -4.37%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 18:30
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -13.89%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.04%E -3.94%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-29 18:19
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -13.89%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.04%E -3.94%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-29 18:19
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -13.89%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.72%E -3.04%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-29 18:19
Neds5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.89%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -9.11%E -6.15%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.89%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -9.11%E -6.15%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.89%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -9.11%E -6.15%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 18:00
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.89%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -9.11%E -6.15%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-29 18:00
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.89%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -13.89%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -11.56%E -8.03%K -26.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -17.45%E -4.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-29 18:00
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -13.89%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -14.02%E -10.01%K -35.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-29 18:19
Winamax (DE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -15.46%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 18:29
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.07%EV -15.46%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.10%EV -12.79%E -9.01%K -30.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-29 18:29
Winamax (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -20.15%E -3.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.22%EV -10.33%E -7.08%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-29 18:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.6%2026-05-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.6%2026-05-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.6%2026-05-29 18:39
Matchbook7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.6%2026-05-29 18:40