L’École des cotes

Shamrock Rovers v Galway United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prévision 59.49%1.68cote équitable
EV -4.81%
Avantage -3.01%
Kelly -8.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.51%59.40%59.58%60.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.551.561.6069.44%64.53%64.10%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Galway United (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.94%6.27cote équitable
EV +7.60%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.32%
Croissance +0.100%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.16%16.01%15.90%17.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.675.756.7520.41%17.63%17.39%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.57%4.07cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.434%
Kelly -0.579%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.76%24.59%24.51%26.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.704.0030.30%27.05%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.88%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +7.60%E +1.13%K +1.32%G +0.100%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.96%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 19:40
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.98%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV +3.61%E +0.556%K +0.657%G +0.024%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 19:04
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.98%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV +3.61%E +0.556%K +0.657%G +0.024%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 19:04
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -8.97%E -5.87%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -0.374%E -0.060%K -0.071%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:00
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -2.76%E -0.453%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 19:40
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.00%E -3.80%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -4.36%E -0.726%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -1.74%E -0.434%K -0.579%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 19:04
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.36%E -0.726%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.19%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 18:59
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.47%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.36%E -0.726%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 19:13
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.48%EV -9.57%E -6.30%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -4.36%E -0.726%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 19:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -4.36%E -0.726%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 19:55
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.29%EV -6.00%E -3.80%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.66%EV -4.68%E -0.782%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.05%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 19:45
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.16%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -7.55%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 19:39
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.34%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:20
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.34%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:20
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.34%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:20
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.34%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:19
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.34%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:19
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.34%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:20
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.34%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:19
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.34%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:19
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.34%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:19
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.34%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:20
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.34%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -8.34%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 19:55
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -10.73%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:48
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -10.73%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:49
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -10.73%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.93%EV -8.38%E -5.44%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -10.73%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.33%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.09%EV -8.97%E -5.87%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.14%EV -10.73%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.33%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 19:20
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.09%EV -8.97%E -5.87%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.14%EV -10.73%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.33%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 19:20
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -6.00%E -3.80%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -12.33%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 19:05
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -6.00%E -3.80%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -12.33%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 19:10
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -12.33%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 19:04
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.78%E -5.02%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -12.33%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 19:05
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.97%E -5.87%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.33%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 19:00
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.78%E -5.02%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -12.33%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-20 19:35
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -14.33%E -9.95%K -32.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -12.33%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-20 19:55
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -16.31%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:04
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -8.97%E -5.87%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -16.31%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -8.97%E -5.87%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -16.31%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -8.97%E -5.87%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -16.31%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 19:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -8.97%E -5.87%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -16.31%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -17.11%E -3.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -5.42%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 19:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.09%EV -10.16%E -6.73%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.20%EV -18.70%E -3.67%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -12.79%E -3.60%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 19:35
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.42%EV -11.35%E -7.62%K -23.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.07%EV -18.70%E -3.67%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.52%EV -12.79%E -3.60%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-20 19:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.51%EV -8.97%E -5.87%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.29%EV -20.30%E -4.06%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -18.93%E -5.74%K -8.23%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-20 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.92%EV -9.57%E -6.30%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -21.89%E -4.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -10.33%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-20 19:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-03-20 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-03-20 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-03-20 19:55
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-03-20 19:55