La escuela de los momios

Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk

Inicio: 2026-02-23 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Predicción 63.57%1.57momio equitativo
EV -4.65%
Ventaja -3.10%
Kelly -9.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.15%63.49%63.55%64.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.461.461.5073.53%68.59%68.49%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundalk (Visitante)

Predicción 13.68%7.31momio equitativo
EV +2.59%
Ventaja +0.345%
Kelly +0.398%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.72%13.75%13.68%15.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.806.396.507.5017.24%15.66%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.76%4.39momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.57%22.76%22.77%24.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.963.954.2027.78%25.24%25.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +2.59%E +0.345%K +0.398%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-23 19:34
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +2.59%E +0.345%K +0.398%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-23 19:34
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.24%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.44I 13.44%NM 12.86%EV +1.77%E +0.237%K +0.274%G +0.005%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.90%EV -4.88%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-23 19:40
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV -0.834%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-23 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.79%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.18%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.78%EV -1.52%E -0.211%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 19:30
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -4.25%E -0.608%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 19:34
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.10%E -6.36%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.25%E -0.608%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:44
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -4.25%E -0.608%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-23 19:45
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.44%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -7.67%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 19:35
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.03%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -7.67%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-23 19:39
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.19%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -7.67%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-23 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -11.09%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 19:19
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.59%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -11.09%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -5.56%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:20
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.59%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -11.09%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -5.56%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 19:19
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.19%E -4.93%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.09%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:54
BetAnything1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.19%E -4.93%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.09%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:54
BetUS1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.19%E -4.93%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.09%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:54
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -11.09%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-23 18:55
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 62.54%EV -7.19%E -4.93%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -11.09%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-23 19:40
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -11.09%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-23 19:15
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.09%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-23 19:34
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.14%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -11.09%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-23 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -11.09%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -18.08%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-23 19:45
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.81%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.35%EV -11.09%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-23 18:59
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.44%EV -11.37%E -1.75%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.17%EV -8.06%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 19:54
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:15
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:14
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:15
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:15
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:15
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:15
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:15
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:15
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:15
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:15
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.34%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-23 19:15
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -9.10%E -6.36%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-23 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-23 19:15
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-23 19:14
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-23 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -17.93%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-23 19:15
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.69%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 14.57%EV -19.98%E -3.42%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.74%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%17.3%2026-02-23 19:54
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.15%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -20.67%E -3.56%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-23 19:15
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.15%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -20.67%E -3.56%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-23 19:15
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.84%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.17%EV -20.67%E -3.56%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-23 19:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.74%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.90%EV -20.67%E -3.56%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.36%EV -15.80%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-23 19:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-02-23 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-02-23 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-02-23 19:55
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.79%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.5%2026-02-23 19:55