L’École des cotes

Shamrock Rovers v Derry City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-22 19:02 UTC

Score final : Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Derry City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prévision 48.71%2.05cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -1.54%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.71%48.96%48.64%53.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.841.851.9961.35%54.22%54.05%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Derry City (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.12%4.33cote équitable
EV +6.33%
Avantage +1.38%
Kelly +1.76%
Croissance +0.111%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.95%22.86%23.24%24.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.064.004.6027.78%24.63%25.00%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.18%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.393%
Kelly -0.551%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.98%28.18%28.12%30.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.253.263.5035.71%30.80%30.67%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -15.74%E -9.10%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV +6.33%E +1.38%K +1.76%G +0.111%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 18:56
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -12.82%E -7.16%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV +4.02%E +0.893%K +1.15%G +0.046%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 18:59
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.90%EV -13.30%E -7.47%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV +4.02%E +0.893%K +1.15%G +0.046%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 18:59
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.90%EV -13.30%E -7.47%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV +4.02%E +0.893%K +1.15%G +0.046%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 18:59
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.90%EV -13.30%E -7.47%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV +4.02%E +0.893%K +1.15%G +0.046%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -14.76%E -8.44%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV +1.71%E +0.388%K +0.502%G +0.009%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-22 18:59
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -14.76%E -8.44%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV +1.71%E +0.388%K +0.502%G +0.009%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-22 18:59
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -14.76%E -8.44%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV +1.71%E +0.388%K +0.502%G +0.009%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-22 19:00
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -14.76%E -8.44%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV +1.71%E +0.388%K +0.502%G +0.009%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-22 19:00
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -14.76%E -8.44%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV +1.71%E +0.388%K +0.502%G +0.009%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-22 19:00
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.24%EV -15.74%E -9.10%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV +0.552%E +0.127%K +0.165%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-22 19:00
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.06%EV -4.53%E -2.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.15%EV +0.321%E +0.074%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.79%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 18:59
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -0.604%E -0.140%K -0.183%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 18:58
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -9.89%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -0.604%E -0.140%K -0.183%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-22 18:59
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.05%EV -16.22%E -9.43%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -0.604%E -0.140%K -0.183%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.05%EV -16.22%E -9.43%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -0.604%E -0.140%K -0.183%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-22 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.30%EV -18.17%E -10.82%K -26.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.67%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-22 19:00
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -7.46%E -3.92%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -2.92%E -0.694%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -1.38%E -0.393%K -0.551%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 18:59
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.22%EV -20.61%E -12.64%K -32.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.76%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.02%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%17.5%2026-06-22 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.18%EV -3.07%E -1.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.34%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 18:59
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.18%EV -3.07%E -1.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.34%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 18:59
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 47.18%EV -3.07%E -1.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.34%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 19:00
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.46%E -3.92%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 18:59
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -9.89%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-22 18:59
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-22 18:59
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -18.85%E -6.54%K -10.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 19:00
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 46.94%EV -7.46%E -3.92%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -18.28%E -6.30%K -9.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-22 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.78%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -21.10%E -7.54%K -11.72%G +0.000%16.3%2026-06-22 18:59
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -7.46%E -3.92%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.69%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 18:59
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -7.46%E -3.92%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.69%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 18:59
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -10.38%E -5.64%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -8.69%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 19:00
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -4.53%E -2.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -9.39%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 18:59
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.51%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -9.85%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-22 18:59
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -8.43%E -4.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -11.01%E -2.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 18:59
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.83%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -11.01%E -2.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-22 19:00
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 18:58
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-22 18:59
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-22 18:59
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.84%EV -11.35%E -6.24%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-22 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-22 19:00
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.22%EV -3.56%E -1.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.87%EV -13.09%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.46%E -3.92%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-22 19:00
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-22 18:59
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.02%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -14.47%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-22 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.89%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.47%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-22 18:59
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.89%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.47%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-22 18:59
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.07%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -16.78%E -4.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-22 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -16.78%E -4.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-22 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.15%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-06-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-06-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-06-22 19:00
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23%2.1%2026-06-22 19:00