L’École des cotes

Galway United v Waterford FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-16 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galway United (Local)

Prévision 55.59%1.80cote équitable
EV -3.83%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -5.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.09%55.50%55.46%56.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.671.671.7363.69%59.74%59.88%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Waterford FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.69%5.08cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.310%
Kelly -0.387%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.01%19.82%19.70%21.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.534.505.0023.81%22.09%22.22%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.72%4.05cote équitable
EV -0.867%
Avantage -0.216%
Kelly -0.288%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.88%24.69%24.84%26.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.663.654.0130.77%27.33%27.40%24.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -15.33%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:05
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -15.33%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:05
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -15.33%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:05
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -15.33%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:05
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -15.33%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -15.33%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -15.33%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:05
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -15.33%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:04
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -15.33%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:05
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -15.33%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:05
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -15.33%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:05
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.28%EV -4.39%E -2.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -6.47%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -4.94%E -2.89%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -16.32%E -3.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-16 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -9.43%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -17.30%E -4.12%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -12.24%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-16 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -17.30%E -4.12%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -12.24%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-16 19:05
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.66%EV -6.06%E -3.58%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.46%EV -3.12%E -0.635%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.88%EV -0.867%E -0.216%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 19:35
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -6.06%E -3.58%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.55%E -0.310%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -3.59%E -0.920%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 19:15
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -6.06%E -3.58%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.55%E -0.310%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -3.59%E -0.920%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 19:15
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.58%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.60%EV -5.68%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.84%EV -6.55%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 19:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.09%EV -6.61%E -3.94%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -8.44%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 19:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.09%EV -6.61%E -3.94%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -8.44%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 19:39
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.70%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -3.52%E -0.718%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.35%E -0.595%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 19:35
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.28%EV -4.50%E -0.928%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.73%EV -6.55%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 19:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.43%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:34
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.47%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 19:35
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 19:34
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -7.72%E -4.65%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -7.46%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:49
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -7.72%E -4.65%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -7.46%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:50
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -7.72%E -4.65%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -7.46%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:50
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -7.72%E -4.65%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.36%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 19:40
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -8.28%E -5.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.52%E -0.718%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 19:39
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -8.28%E -5.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -9.43%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 18:34
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.28%E -5.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 19:35
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.28%E -5.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.28%E -5.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.28%E -5.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 18:35
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.28%E -5.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 18:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.68%EV -9.39%E -5.76%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -16.32%E -3.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.95%E -4.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-16 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -5.49%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 19:20
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -9.43%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 19:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -6.47%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 19:40
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-16 19:40
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -17.30%E -4.12%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 54.74%EV -11.61%E -7.30%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -15.33%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.01%EV -13.97%E -4.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-16 19:54
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.63%EV -12.73%E -8.11%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.41%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -12.73%E -8.11%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -19.66%E -6.05%K -8.74%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-16 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.85%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.85%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.85%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-03-16 19:40
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 56.85%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-03-16 19:55