La escuela de los momios

Drogheda United v St Patricks Athletic

Inicio: 2026-04-17 18:47 UTC

Final: Drogheda United 1–3 St Patricks Athletic

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Drogheda United (Local)

Predicción 20.92%4.78momio equitativo
EV +3.97%
Ventaja +0.799%
Kelly +1.00%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.12%20.80%21.05%22.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.334.224.9725.00%23.11%23.67%20.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St Patricks Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 52.04%1.92momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -4.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.67%52.04%51.98%53.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.781.791.8561.73%56.18%56.02%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.04%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.735%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.14%27.17%26.97%28.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.313.303.6032.26%30.18%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV +3.97%E +0.799%K +1.00%G +0.040%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.64%EV -6.85%E -3.83%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -4.00%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 18:44
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV +0.415%E +0.086%K +0.109%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -7.89%E -4.46%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 18:43
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -1.68%E -0.357%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -8.93%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 18:44
LowVig.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -3.77%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.41%EV -6.85%E -3.83%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:45
BetOnline.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -3.77%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.41%EV -6.85%E -3.83%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:44
Everygame4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -3.77%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 18:44
Marathon Bet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -4.82%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.17%EV -6.85%E -3.83%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.31%EV -7.51%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 18:44
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.86%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -8.41%E -4.78%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:45
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -5.86%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.45%E -5.43%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:42
BetAnything4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -5.86%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.45%E -5.43%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:44
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -5.86%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -5.86%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -15.70%E -9.69%K -25.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-17 18:45
1xBet4.47I 22.37%NM 20.90%EV -6.49%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.48%EV -7.37%E -4.14%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.62%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:44
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -7.95%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.65%E -0.735%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 18:44
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -7.95%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -7.89%E -4.46%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -4.00%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:45
NordicBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -9.00%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.25%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:44
Betsson4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -9.00%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.25%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:45
PlayUp4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -9.00%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.74%EV -8.93%E -5.11%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 18:45
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -9.42%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -7.89%E -4.46%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 18:44
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -9.42%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -9.45%E -5.43%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 18:45
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.42%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-17 18:44
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.23%EV -9.42%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.52%EV -11.54%E -6.79%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-17 18:45
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -10.05%E -2.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -9.45%E -5.43%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 18:45
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.09%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:44
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:42
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:44
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:44
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:44
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:45
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:45
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:45
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:44
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:45
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:45
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -3.73%E -2.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:44
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:44
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -13.46%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:45
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:44
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:45
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:44
Unibet (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 21.11%EV -13.18%E -3.18%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.52%EV -11.54%E -6.79%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -13.46%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-17 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 18:45
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.82%EV -5.81%E -3.21%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.46%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-17 18:44
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.82%EV -5.81%E -3.21%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.46%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-17 18:45
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.32%EV -12.58%E -7.49%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 18:45
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -16.32%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -7.89%E -4.46%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 18:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-17 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-17 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-17 18:45
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.5%2026-04-17 18:45