La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Drogheda United v Dundalk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Drogheda United (Local)
Predicción 35.72%2.80momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.647%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.46%35.63%35.71%36.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.37%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dundalk (Visitante)
Predicción 37.67%2.65momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.11%37.71%37.58%39.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.412.402.5744.84%41.57%41.67%38.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.61%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.273%
Kelly -0.374%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.86%26.66%26.71%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.403.453.7234.72%29.37%28.99%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -1.78%E -0.647%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.33%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -1.78%E -0.647%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -1.78%E -0.647%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -1.78%E -0.647%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -1.78%E -0.647%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -1.78%E -0.647%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -1.78%E -0.647%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -1.78%E -0.647%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -1.78%E -0.647%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -1.78%E -0.647%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -1.78%E -0.647%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -12.22%E -5.24%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-22 18:56 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.81%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.21%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -3.56%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -12.59%E -5.43%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.86%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.13%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.23%EV -5.44%E -2.17%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -10.06%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.35%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.87%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -5.35%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.35%EV -14.10%E -6.18%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -10.86%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -5.35%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.35%EV -14.10%E -6.18%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -10.86%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -6.42%E -2.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.43%EV -3.18%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.86%EV -1.02%E -0.273%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.15%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.00%EV -4.31%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.87%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.15%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.00%EV -4.31%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.87%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.15%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.00%EV -4.31%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.87%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -5.81%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.54%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.81%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.87%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.87%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.72%EV -7.14%E -2.74%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.31%EV -15.98%E -7.17%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.52%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.17%EV -7.85%E -3.04%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -6.19%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -7.85%E -3.04%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -7.85%E -3.04%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.86%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.87%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.20%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.92%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -5.81%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -13.52%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.33%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.53%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.19%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.19%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.19%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.19%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.33%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.19%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -13.35%E -5.80%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -23.37%E -8.11%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-22 18:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -12.49%E -5.10%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -13.35%E -5.80%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -13.52%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -12.49%E -5.10%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -15.23%E -6.77%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -12.19%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-22 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -14.28%E -5.95%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -16.18%E -5.14%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |