L’École des cotes

Drogheda United v Bohemians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Drogheda United (Local)

Prévision 22.31%4.48cote équitable
EV +0.380%
Avantage +0.084%
Kelly +0.109%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.47%22.30%22.45%23.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.054.004.5027.03%24.68%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bohemians (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.93%2.04cote équitable
EV -5.57%
Avantage -2.88%
Kelly -5.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.83%48.91%48.85%50.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.871.881.9357.80%53.38%53.19%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.76%3.48cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.648%
Kelly -0.918%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.77%28.78%28.70%30.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.35%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV +0.380%E +0.084%K +0.109%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 18:15
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV +0.380%E +0.084%K +0.109%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 18:15
Pinnacle4.49I 22.27%NM 21.41%EV +0.157%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.81%EV -5.57%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.93%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 18:30
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -1.85%E -0.421%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.41%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.37%EV -8.53%E -2.68%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 18:39
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -1.85%E -0.421%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 18:15
1xBet4.32I 23.15%NM 21.61%EV -3.63%E -0.841%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.26%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 18:35
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.08%E -0.949%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 18:40
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -4.08%E -0.949%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 18:15
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -5.57%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -2.20%E -0.648%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 18:40
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 18:25
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 18:39
BetAnything4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 18:40
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.48%E -5.12%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 18:14
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -15.35%E -8.87%K -21.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -17.16%E -5.96%K -9.13%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-03 18:40
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 18:35
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-03 18:40
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -9.66%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.05%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 18:30
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -9.66%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.05%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 18:30
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:30
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:39
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 18:40
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 18:40
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.48%E -5.12%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.48%E -5.12%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.48%E -5.12%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-03 18:35
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.48%E -5.12%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-03 18:35
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.48%E -5.12%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-03 18:15
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.29%EV -11.93%E -6.63%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -16.59%E -5.72%K -8.73%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-03 18:15
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:10
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 00:05
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 00:04
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 00:04
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 00:05
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 18:10
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -14.12%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 18:25
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.12%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -9.48%E -5.12%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 18:10
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.12%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -9.48%E -5.12%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 18:10
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -16.35%E -4.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.75%EV -11.93%E -6.63%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-03 18:10
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -16.35%E -4.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.22%EV -12.42%E -6.94%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.77%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-03 18:30
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -17.47%E -4.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -9.97%E -5.42%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-03 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-03 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-03 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-04-03 18:40
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-04-03 18:40