La escuela de los momios

Bohemians v St Patricks Athletic

Inicio: 2026-06-26 19:04 UTC

Final: Bohemians 2–0 St Patricks Athletic

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bohemians (Local)

Predicción 39.45%2.54momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.554%
Kelly -0.923%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.06%39.37%39.47%40.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.352.5045.45%42.32%42.55%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St Patricks Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 31.18%3.21momio equitativo
EV -0.550%
Ventaja -0.172%
Kelly -0.251%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.07%31.30%31.08%33.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.882.853.1938.02%34.76%35.09%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.38%3.40momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -0.925%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.60%29.34%29.45%32.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.103.133.3038.02%32.29%32.00%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -1.38%E -0.554%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 18:59
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -2.17%E -0.876%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 19:00
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -2.17%E -0.876%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 18:57
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -2.17%E -0.876%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 18:59
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -2.17%E -0.876%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 19:00
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -2.17%E -0.876%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 18:59
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -2.17%E -0.876%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 18:59
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -2.17%E -0.876%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 19:00
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -2.17%E -0.876%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 19:00
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -2.17%E -0.876%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 18:59
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -2.17%E -0.876%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -14.27%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 18:59
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -3.05%E -0.925%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -15.83%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 18:59
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -4.15%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -15.83%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-26 18:59
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -4.15%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -15.83%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-26 18:59
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.46%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.19%EV -0.550%E -0.172%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.36%EV -3.64%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 18:59
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-26 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-26 19:00
BetAnything2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-26 18:59
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06%EV -6.12%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.54%EV -18.01%E -6.85%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-26 18:59
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 18:59
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -9.52%E -3.09%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 18:58
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 19:00
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 18:59
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 18:59
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 18:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -11.15%E -3.91%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-26 18:59
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -11.15%E -3.91%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-26 19:00
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -11.15%E -3.91%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-26 18:59
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -8.88%E -3.84%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -3.67%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -6.28%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 18:58
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 18:58
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-26 19:00
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-26 19:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 18:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 18:59
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 18:59
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 18:59
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-26 18:59
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.80%E -5.10%K -7.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-26 18:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-26 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-26 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-26 19:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-26 18:59
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -11.25%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-26 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.61%EV -11.25%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.22%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.17%EV -22.74%E -8.64%K -13.95%G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-26 18:46
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-26 18:58
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-26 18:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.18%EV -13.22%E -6.01%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.03%EV -15.68%E -5.47%K -8.39%G +0.000%16.0%2026-06-26 18:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-06-26 18:59
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-06-26 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%1.9%2026-06-26 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%1.9%2026-06-26 18:59