La escuela de los momios

Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers

Inicio: 2026-02-27 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bohemians (Local)

Predicción 42.26%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.82%42.23%42.10%43.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.192.202.3049.50%45.70%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shamrock Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 27.05%3.70momio equitativo
EV +0.098%
Ventaja +0.026%
Kelly +0.036%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.03%27.09%27.15%28.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.353.353.7031.75%29.82%29.85%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.69%3.26momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.57%30.68%30.75%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.782.952.923.1535.97%33.88%34.19%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.19%EV -5.76%E -2.58%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +0.098%E +0.026%K +0.036%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.77%EV -3.95%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 19:40
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -3.65%E -1.60%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -2.61%E -0.724%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 19:19
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -3.65%E -1.60%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -2.61%E -0.724%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 19:15
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 19:19
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -4.23%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.00%EV -7.32%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:44
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.98%EV -8.30%E -3.82%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -4.23%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -6.71%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 19:55
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:38
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 19:04
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-27 19:29
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -3.33%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 19:09
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 19:19
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 19:54
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.92%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.55%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:19
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.92%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.55%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:19
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:54
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 12:14
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 12:14
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 12:15
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 12:14
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 12:14
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 12:15
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 12:15
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 12:14
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 12:14
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 12:14
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 12:14
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.82%EV -5.76%E -2.58%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.60%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 12:14
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:55
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:49
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:15
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 19:14
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 19:19
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 12:14
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -7.03%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 19:49
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 19:49
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 19:49
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 19:55
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -13.37%E -6.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -14.07%E -5.03%K -7.82%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-27 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -13.37%E -6.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -14.07%E -5.03%K -7.82%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-27 19:49
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -11.26%E -5.36%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -14.78%E -4.69%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-27 19:19
Unibet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.23%EV -14.64%E -7.25%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -14.78%E -4.69%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 30.69%EV -14.69%E -5.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%17.2%2026-02-27 19:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-02-27 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-02-27 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-02-27 19:50
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-02-27 19:55