Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bohemians v Galway United

Início: 2026-08-02 18:00 UTC

Final: Bohemians 1–1 Galway United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bohemians (Local)

Previsão 61.20%1.63odd justa
EV -3.91%
Vantagem -2.49%
Kelly -6.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.57%61.17%61.27%62.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.431.501.501.5769.93%66.46%66.67%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Galway United (Visitante)

Previsão 16.79%5.96odd justa
EV +0.737%
Vantagem +0.123%
Kelly +0.147%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.85%16.82%16.73%18.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.905.425.506.0020.41%18.44%18.18%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.01%4.54odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -0.719%
Kelly -0.930%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.16%22.01%22.00%23.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.104.104.4025.97%24.38%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Bohemians (Local): 61.20%; Galway United (Visitante): 16.79%; Empate: 22.01%. Para Galway United (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.96. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.737%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.55%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.737%E +0.123%K +0.147%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -3.16%E -0.719%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.22%EV -7.59%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.93%EV -0.942%E -0.160%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 17:35
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.98%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -3.46%E -0.602%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.37%EV -5.80%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -3.46%E -0.602%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -4.30%E -0.754%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:35
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.88%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.65%EV -5.81%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.47%EV -12.41%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 17:35
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 17:34
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 17:35
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 19:30
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 19:30
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 19:30
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -4.53%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -8.81%E -5.91%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 17:34
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -8.81%E -5.91%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.51%EV -10.03%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -9.42%E -6.37%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -9.42%E -6.37%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 17:29
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -11.02%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -11.02%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.94%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -11.02%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.11%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.49%EV -11.02%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.41%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-24 19:30
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 17:34
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 17:30
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 17:34
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.27%E -3.97%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 16:59
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 17:30
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -12.69%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -14.37%E -2.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 17:10
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 17:24
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 17:25
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.03%E -6.83%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.97%EV -8.81%E -5.91%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -17.73%E -3.62%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 17:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-08-02 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-08-02 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-08-02 17:55
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-08-02 17:55