La escuela de los momios

Ulsan Hyundai FC v FC Seoul

Inicio: 2026-04-15 10:30 UTC

Final: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–4 FC Seoul

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Predicción 37.26%2.68momio equitativo
EV -0.139%
Ventaja -0.052%
Kelly -0.083%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.01%37.22%37.34%37.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.462.452.6844.05%40.70%40.82%37.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Seoul (Visitante)

Predicción 33.18%3.01momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.832%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.92%33.16%33.19%33.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.752.702.9438.46%36.40%37.04%34.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.56%3.38momio equitativo
EV -3.94%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.42%29.62%29.47%31.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.053.003.2535.09%32.83%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.10%EV -0.139%E -0.052%K -0.083%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.48%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -6.01%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 10:00
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.08%EV -4.61%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.29%EV -2.44%E -0.832%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 10:00
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.08%EV -4.61%E -1.80%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.29%EV -2.44%E -0.832%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 10:00
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 09:59
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 10:00
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 10:00
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-15 09:59
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.10%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.85%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 10:00
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -6.47%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -5.10%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -8.97%E -2.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 10:00
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 06:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 06:15
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 08:15
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 06:15
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 07:34
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 07:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 10:00
Bovada2.49I 40.16%NM 36.92%EV -7.22%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -4.44%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-15 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.61%EV -7.59%E -3.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.63%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.85%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 07:10
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.61%EV -7.59%E -3.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.63%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.85%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 07:09
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 07:34
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.43%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.99%EV -7.75%E -2.79%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 05:39
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.43%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.99%EV -7.75%E -2.79%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 05:39
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 05:30
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 05:30
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 07:10
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 07:10
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 07:10
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 07:10
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 07:10
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 07:10
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 07:10
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 07:10
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 07:10
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 07:10
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-15 09:59
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-15 10:00
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 36.90%EV -9.45%E -3.89%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-15 07:10
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.57%E -4.41%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 05:39
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.57%E -4.41%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-15 07:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.57%E -4.41%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 05:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.57%E -4.41%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 05:30
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.57%E -4.41%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 05:30
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.57%E -4.41%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 05:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -11.32%E -4.76%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -13.06%E -4.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-15 06:20
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.88%EV -11.32%E -4.76%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.37%EV -12.73%E -4.84%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-15 07:10
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.96%EV -14.30%E -6.22%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-15 05:40
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.30%E -6.22%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.52%EV -13.73%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -9.85%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-15 05:40
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.15%EV -14.30%E -6.22%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.87%EV -13.73%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.98%EV -15.76%E -5.53%K -8.52%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-15 10:00
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 37.94%EV -15.42%E -6.79%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.87%EV -13.06%E -4.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.19%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-15 10:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.1%2026-04-15 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.1%2026-04-15 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.1%2026-04-15 10:00
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%1.6%2026-04-15 10:00
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.54%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.1%2026-04-15 10:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.0%2026-04-15 08:50