La escuela de los momios

Pohang Steelers v Jeju United FC

Inicio: 2026-04-11 05:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pohang Steelers (Local)

Predicción 51.88%1.93momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.85%51.79%51.84%53.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.781.801.8861.35%56.10%55.56%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jeju United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 20.49%4.88momio equitativo
EV +3.07%
Ventaja +0.611%
Kelly +0.763%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.22%20.58%20.56%23.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.274.305.0326.67%23.44%23.26%19.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.63%3.62momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.700%
Kelly -0.976%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.70%27.63%27.60%28.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.283.303.5332.26%30.45%30.30%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.40%EV -6.10%E -3.37%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.22%EV +3.07%E +0.611%K +0.763%G +0.023%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -2.47%E -0.700%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 04:35
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.69%EV -2.46%E -0.517%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.23%EV -8.27%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 04:29
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -7.65%E -4.30%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.66%E -0.561%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -7.72%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 04:50
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.50%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.69%E -0.785%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 04:50
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -3.69%E -0.785%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 04:35
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 04:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 04:19
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 04:20
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 04:30
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.09%EV -6.76%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 04:30
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.09%EV -6.76%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 04:30
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -5.58%E -3.07%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 04:24
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 04:25
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 04:25
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 04:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -8.17%E -4.62%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 04:25
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -8.17%E -4.62%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 04:35
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -8.17%E -4.62%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 04:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -10.25%E -5.92%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 04:28
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 04:49
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -10.25%E -5.92%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 04:39
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -10.25%E -5.92%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 04:30
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -9.73%E -5.59%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -11.89%E -2.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:30
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.98%EV -7.65%E -4.30%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -11.89%E -2.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 04:25
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.50%EV -15.44%E -9.47%K -24.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.90%EV -11.89%E -2.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-11 04:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 04:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 04:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 04:24
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 04:25
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 51.89%EV -13.88%E -8.36%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.61%EV -13.80%E -4.42%K -6.51%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 04:34
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 51.79%EV -13.88%E -8.36%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-11 04:35
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.81%E -6.94%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -15.98%E -3.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 04:30
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -19.06%E -4.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -20.08%E -5.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 04:50
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -20.08%E -5.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 04:50
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -21.11%E -5.48%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 04:50
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -21.11%E -5.48%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 04:45
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -21.11%E -5.48%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 04:45
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -21.11%E -5.48%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 04:45
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -21.11%E -5.48%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 04:50
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -21.11%E -5.48%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 04:49
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -21.11%E -5.48%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 04:49
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -21.11%E -5.48%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 04:50
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -21.11%E -5.48%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 04:50
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -21.11%E -5.48%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 04:50
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 48.85%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -21.11%E -5.48%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 05:55
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.10%EV -7.14%E -3.99%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -23.16%E -6.17%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 04:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-04-11 04:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-04-11 04:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-04-11 04:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.08%1.8%2026-04-11 04:50
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.21%3.0%2026-04-11 04:35
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%3.3%2026-04-11 04:50