Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Pohang Steelers

Inicio: 2026-09-05 10:00 UTC

Final: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 2–0 Pohang Steelers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Predicción 51.01%1.96momio equitativo
EV -4.11%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -4.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.14%50.92%51.08%53.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.761.801.8862.11%56.66%55.56%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pohang Steelers (Visitante)

Predicción 21.92%4.56momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.252%
Kelly -0.324%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.85%21.96%21.89%23.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.234.304.5126.32%23.63%23.26%22.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.07%3.69momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -0.938%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.46%27.11%27.03%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.353.353.5731.25%29.81%29.85%28.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local): 51.01%; Pohang Steelers (Visitante): 21.92%; Empate: 27.07%. Para Pohang Steelers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.56. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.51, con un valor esperado de -1.14%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 10:05
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.27%EV -1.14%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.87%EV -3.35%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 10:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 10:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 10:05
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 01:25
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:14
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.74%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:00
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -5.74%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 11:40
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.45%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 10:10
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 19:30
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -13.41%E -3.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 14:29
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.44%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.18%EV -3.11%E -0.703%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.38%EV -7.41%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 08:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.75%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -14.51%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 17:09
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 08:39
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 01:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -2.45%E -0.551%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.41%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 01:15
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 01:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -16.70%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 01:25
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -16.70%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 01:25
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -16.70%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -16.70%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 01:25
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.70%E -4.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -5.74%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 03:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -10.12%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 11:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.18%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 10:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.81%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.33%EV -16.70%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -9.72%E -5.49%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 10:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:59
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 10:00
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -14.51%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-04 10:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.68%EV -11.76%E -6.80%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-04 08:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.55%EV -14.31%E -8.52%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 10:20
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.49%EV -14.82%E -8.87%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.49%EV -14.82%E -8.87%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:20
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.49%EV -14.82%E -8.87%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.49%EV -14.82%E -8.87%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.49%EV -14.82%E -8.87%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.49%EV -14.82%E -8.87%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.49%EV -14.82%E -8.87%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:20
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.49%EV -14.82%E -8.87%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:20
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.49%EV -14.82%E -8.87%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.49%EV -14.82%E -8.87%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.40%EV -15.33%E -9.23%K -23.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.14%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 10:20
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.30%EV -16.86%E -10.34%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.97%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-29 10:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.26%EV -17.88%E -11.11%K -29.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.94%EV -5.74%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-29 10:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.42%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.22%2.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.05%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%3.5%2026-09-04 14:35