Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Gwangju FC

Inicio: 2026-09-20 07:30 UTC

Final: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 2–2 Gwangju FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Predicción 66.57%1.50momio equitativo
EV -4.80%
Ventaja -3.36%
Kelly -11.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.57%66.65%66.48%68.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.371.4376.92%73.00%72.99%69.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gwangju FC (Visitante)

Predicción 13.02%7.68momio equitativo
EV +4.20%
Ventaja +0.525%
Kelly +0.599%
Crecimiento +0.025%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.49%12.99%13.18%14.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.006.946.758.0016.67%14.41%14.81%12.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 20.40%4.90momio equitativo
EV +0.586%
Ventaja +0.119%
Kelly +0.149%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.41%20.36%20.34%22.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.394.304.9324.39%22.77%23.26%20.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local): 66.57%; Gwangju FC (Visitante): 13.02%; Empate: 20.40%. Para Gwangju FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.68. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.20%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -17.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +4.20%E +0.525%K +0.599%G +0.025%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 07:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -10.13%E -7.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +4.20%E +0.525%K +0.599%G +0.025%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:24
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.16%EV -6.13%E -4.35%K -14.96%G +0.000%7.78I 12.85%NM 12.35%EV +1.33%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.49%EV +0.586%E +0.119%K +0.149%G +0.001%4.1%2026-09-20 07:15
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.66%EV -8.13%E -5.89%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV +0.940%E +0.121%K +0.139%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 06:59
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.20%EV -6.13%E -4.35%K -14.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -2.32%E -0.309%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -4.11%E -0.874%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 07:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -17.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -2.32%E -0.309%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 07:24
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.23%EV -7.46%E -5.37%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -2.32%E -0.309%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 07:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -8.13%E -5.89%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -2.32%E -0.309%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 07:25
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.46%E -6.96%K -26.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -2.32%E -0.309%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -11.66%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 07:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -8.13%E -5.89%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV -3.62%E -0.489%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -2.07%E -0.431%K -0.544%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 07:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -8.13%E -5.89%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV -3.62%E -0.489%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -2.07%E -0.431%K -0.544%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 07:25
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -5.47%E -3.85%K -13.02%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -5.57%E -0.769%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -14.31%E -3.41%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 07:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.00%EV -8.13%E -5.89%K -21.39%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -5.57%E -0.769%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 07:25
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -4.80%E -3.36%K -11.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.83%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 06:54
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -17.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.83%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.09%E -0.650%K -0.823%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 06:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -17.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.83%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 07:25
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.47%E -3.85%K -13.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -8.83%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -12.27%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 06:54
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -17.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -8.83%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.23%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 06:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -17.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -8.83%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.23%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 06:55
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -8.80%E -6.42%K -23.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -8.83%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.77%EV -5.13%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.20%EV -9.46%E -6.96%K -26.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -8.83%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -12.27%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 07:15
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.46%E -8.62%K -34.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -8.83%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 06:55
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.10%EV -8.80%E -6.42%K -23.77%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.32%EV -11.43%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -10.23%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 07:23
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.10%EV -8.80%E -6.42%K -23.77%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.32%EV -11.43%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -10.23%E -2.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -9.46%E -6.96%K -26.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -12.08%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -4.11%E -0.874%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 07:19
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -10.13%E -7.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.08%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 07:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -10.13%E -7.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.08%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -10.13%E -7.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.08%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -10.13%E -7.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.08%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 07:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -10.13%E -7.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.08%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 07:14
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -10.13%E -7.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.08%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 07:14
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -10.13%E -7.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.08%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 07:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -10.13%E -7.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.08%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 07:14
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -10.13%E -7.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.08%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 07:15
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -10.13%E -7.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.08%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 07:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -10.13%E -7.50%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.08%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 07:14
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 66.23%EV -12.12%E -9.18%K -37.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.95%EV -12.08%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -14.31%E -3.41%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 07:14
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.34%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.31%E -3.41%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 06:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.34%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.31%E -3.41%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 06:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.34%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.31%E -3.41%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 06:54
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.34%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.31%E -3.41%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 06:54
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -8.13%E -5.89%K -21.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -15.34%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.93%EV -12.27%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.78%EV -10.79%E -8.05%K -31.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -15.34%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 07:19
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -9.46%E -6.96%K -26.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -15.34%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -14.31%E -3.41%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 06:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.05%EV -11.46%E -8.62%K -34.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -15.34%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -12.27%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 07:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.90%EV -11.46%E -8.62%K -34.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -15.34%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.62%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 07:23
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 65.92%EV -13.46%E -10.35%K -44.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.18%EV -15.34%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.90%EV -16.35%E -3.99%K -5.27%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-20 07:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 65.95%EV -13.46%E -10.35%K -44.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.40%EV -16.64%E -2.60%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.66%EV -15.33%E -3.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-20 07:25
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -9.46%E -6.96%K -26.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -21.85%E -3.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.66%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-20 06:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%0.9%2026-09-20 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.71%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-09-20 06:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.71%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-09-20 06:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.71%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-09-20 06:59
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.71%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-09-20 06:55
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.86%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.69%1.6%2026-09-20 06:55