La escuela de los momios

Jeju United FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Inicio: 2026-03-18 10:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jeju United FC (Local)

Predicción 25.22%3.97momio equitativo
EV +1.88%
Ventaja +0.465%
Kelly +0.617%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.52%25.66%25.27%29.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.123.493.504.0432.05%28.64%28.57%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visitante)

Predicción 47.50%2.11momio equitativo
EV +9.26%
Ventaja +4.02%
Kelly +7.12%
Crecimiento +0.659%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.53%46.92%47.51%49.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.971.952.3056.82%50.81%51.28%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.28%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.497%
Kelly -0.689%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.27%27.41%27.21%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.293.253.6033.33%30.38%30.77%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -21.32%E -6.83%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV +9.26%E +4.02%K +7.12%G +0.659%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 20:55
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -18.04%E -5.55%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV +0.705%E +0.333%K +0.630%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 10:04
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -19.31%E -6.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -0.245%E -0.117%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -19.31%E -6.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -0.245%E -0.117%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 10:04
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -19.31%E -6.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -1.67%E -0.807%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 10:04
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -19.31%E -6.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -1.67%E -0.807%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 10:05
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -19.31%E -6.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -1.67%E -0.807%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 10:04
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -19.31%E -6.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -1.67%E -0.807%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 10:04
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -19.31%E -6.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -1.67%E -0.807%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 10:04
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -19.31%E -6.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -1.67%E -0.807%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 10:05
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -19.31%E -6.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -1.67%E -0.807%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 10:04
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -19.31%E -6.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -1.67%E -0.807%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 10:05
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -19.31%E -6.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -1.67%E -0.807%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 10:04
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -19.31%E -6.03%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -1.67%E -0.807%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 10:05
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -20.57%E -6.53%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.33%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 10:04
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.99%E -2.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 09:35
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -1.65%E -0.424%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.10%EV -5.47%E -2.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 10:00
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -1.65%E -0.424%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.10%EV -5.47%E -2.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 10:00
Pinnacle4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV +0.868%E +0.217%K +0.289%G +0.003%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.83%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.00%EV -2.34%E -0.653%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 10:20
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 10:00
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.70%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 09:39
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 10:20
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 10:00
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.22%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 10:19
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.70%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 10:19
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.70%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 10:20
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.22%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-18 10:00
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.22%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-18 10:00
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -7.85%E -4.04%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 10:00
1xBet4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV +1.88%E +0.465%K +0.617%G +0.012%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.49%EV -8.80%E -4.58%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.99%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 10:24
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -8.80%E -4.58%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-18 10:24
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.27%E -4.85%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 10:24
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.22%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.27%E -4.85%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 10:19
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.22%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.27%E -4.85%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-18 10:00
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.27%E -4.85%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-18 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.27%E -4.85%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-18 09:39
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.27%E -4.85%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-18 09:40
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.27%E -4.85%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-18 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.27%E -4.85%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-18 09:39
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.75%E -5.13%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 09:35
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.75%E -5.13%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-18 10:19
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -10.22%E -5.41%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 10:23
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -15.52%E -4.63%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.70%E -5.69%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-18 10:00
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -18.04%E -5.55%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.49%EV -11.17%E -5.97%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-18 09:34
Betclic (FR)3.38I 29.59%NM 25.47%EV -14.77%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.03%EV -13.07%E -7.14%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 27.50%EV -14.61%E -4.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-18 10:04
Parions Sport (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.17%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.70%EV -13.55%E -7.44%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-18 10:04
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 47.74%EV -14.97%E -8.36%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.13%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.54%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-18 10:19
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.07%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 47.88%EV -15.45%E -8.68%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.06%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.54%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-18 10:20
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 24.88%EV -15.52%E -4.63%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 47.35%EV -16.40%E -9.32%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.78%EV -18.16%E -6.05%K -9.08%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-18 10:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-18 10:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-03-18 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-03-18 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-03-18 10:00
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-03-18 10:00
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%3.2%2026-03-18 10:25