La escuela de los momios

Jeju United FC v Gwangju FC

Inicio: 2026-03-01 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jeju United FC (Local)

Predicción 40.46%2.47momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.07%40.37%40.47%41.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.272.302.4050.00%44.03%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gwangju FC (Visitante)

Predicción 28.44%3.52momio equitativo
EV -0.733%
Ventaja -0.210%
Kelly -0.294%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.57%28.56%28.39%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.133.103.4933.90%31.90%32.26%28.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.10%3.22momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.17%31.07%31.13%31.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.942.953.1137.04%34.02%33.90%32.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.89%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.56%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 07:15
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 07:15
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -5.47%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 07:25
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 07:15
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.67%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 07:05
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.85%EV -5.32%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -3.29%E -0.969%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -4.23%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 07:25
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.85%EV -5.32%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -3.29%E -0.969%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -4.23%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -5.72%E -2.46%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -14.67%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 07:05
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -5.72%E -2.46%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -14.67%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 07:05
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.48%EV -6.13%E -2.64%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.57%EV -0.733%E -0.210%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.94%EV -3.29%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 07:15
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.40%EV -6.53%E -2.83%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -7.34%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 07:24
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 07:14
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.56%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 07:24
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.56%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 07:25
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.56%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 07:25
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.83%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 07:25
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.83%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 07:15
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -16.09%E -5.46%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 07:05
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -16.09%E -5.46%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 07:05
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -16.09%E -5.46%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 07:05
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -16.09%E -5.46%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 07:05
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -16.09%E -5.46%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 07:05
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -16.09%E -5.46%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 07:05
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -16.09%E -5.46%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 07:05
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -16.09%E -5.46%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 07:05
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -16.09%E -5.46%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 07:05
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -16.09%E -5.46%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 07:05
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -16.09%E -5.46%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 07:05
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -7.56%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -9.20%E -3.15%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 07:15
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -7.56%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -9.20%E -3.15%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 07:15
Bovada2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 07:23
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 07:25
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 07:15
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 07:25
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 07:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.83%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 07:25
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.83%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.83%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.76%E -3.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 07:25
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.83%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.76%E -3.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 07:25
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.56%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-01 07:25
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.83%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 07:25
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -13.01%E -6.05%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.83%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-01 07:24
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.01%E -6.05%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -13.25%E -4.34%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -11.38%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-01 07:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -13.01%E -6.05%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -11.83%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -12.93%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-01 07:15
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.72%EV -14.22%E -6.71%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.12%EV -12.68%E -4.13%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.16%EV -13.87%E -5.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-01 07:14
Unibet (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 41.50%EV -16.65%E -8.08%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 27.75%EV -12.39%E -4.02%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 30.75%EV -13.55%E -4.88%K -7.62%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-01 07:25
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.54%EV -19.08%E -9.54%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.69%EV -14.67%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -16.04%E -5.94%K -9.44%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-01 07:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-03-01 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-03-01 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-03-01 07:25
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-03-01 07:25
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%5.4%2026-03-01 07:25