La escuela de los momios

Jeju United FC v FC Seoul

Inicio: 2026-03-15 05:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jeju United FC (Local)

Predicción 26.64%3.75momio equitativo
EV -0.636%
Ventaja -0.170%
Kelly -0.233%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.53%26.67%26.81%27.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.393.403.7331.75%29.52%29.41%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Seoul (Visitante)

Predicción 44.56%2.24momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.894%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.19%44.54%44.39%45.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.042.042.2054.05%48.96%49.02%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.80%3.47momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.46%28.79%28.80%30.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.183.203.3535.09%31.47%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV -0.636%E -0.170%K -0.233%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.00%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.06%EV -4.09%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 04:45
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -1.43%E -0.388%K -0.531%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.87%EV -4.38%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 04:45
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -1.43%E -0.388%K -0.531%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.87%EV -4.38%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 04:45
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -3.03%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -8.21%E -3.98%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 04:55
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 04:55
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 04:55
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 04:40
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -9.10%E -4.46%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 04:54
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 04:40
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 04:40
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 04:45
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 04:45
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 04:45
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 04:05
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 04:54
1xBet3.47I 28.82%NM 27.39%EV -7.56%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.19%EV -1.97%E -0.894%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.42%EV -6.97%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 04:55
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 04:45
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 04:40
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.01%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 04:45
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.01%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 04:45
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 04:05
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 04:05
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 04:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 04:05
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 04:55
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.55%EV -12.22%E -6.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 04:55
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -8.21%E -3.98%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 04:05
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 04:45
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 04:40
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -9.10%E -4.46%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -9.10%E -4.46%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 04:05
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 04:05
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 04:05
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 04:05
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 04:05
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 04:05
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 04:05
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 04:05
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 04:05
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 04:05
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 04:05
Parions Sport (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.19%EV -12.22%E -6.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-15 04:45
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.75%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 04:05
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.75%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 04:44
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -14.75%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -13.11%E -6.72%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.91%EV -14.17%E -4.76%K -7.16%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-15 04:43
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 25.96%EV -14.75%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 44.90%EV -17.56%E -9.49%K -20.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.14%EV -17.92%E -6.29%K -9.69%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-15 04:55
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -16.09%E -5.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 04:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-03-15 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.53%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-03-15 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.53%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-03-15 04:55
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-03-15 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.33%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23%2.1%2026-03-15 04:55
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%4.6%2026-03-15 04:55