La escuela de los momios

Gwangju FC v Gangwon FC

Inicio: 2026-05-09 07:30 UTC

Final: Gwangju FC 0–0 Gangwon FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Predicción 12.66%7.90momio equitativo
EV +7.57%
Ventaja +0.890%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.076%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.94%12.72%12.66%14.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.277.508.5016.67%13.76%13.33%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gangwon FC (Visitante)

Predicción 63.78%1.57momio equitativo
EV -4.33%
Ventaja -2.89%
Kelly -8.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.52%63.71%63.80%65.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.421.441.5075.19%70.21%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.57%4.24momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -0.825%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.55%23.57%23.54%25.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.883.904.1028.57%25.77%25.64%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
SportsBet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +7.57%E +0.890%K +1.01%G +0.076%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.16%E -5.67%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 06:44
Tipico (DE)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV +3.77%E +0.460%K +0.524%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.65%EV -9.43%E -6.64%K -22.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 06:45
Pinnacle8.18I 12.22%NM 11.77%EV +3.52%E +0.430%K +0.490%G +0.017%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.21%EV -4.33%E -2.89%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.02%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 06:44
Coolbet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +1.24%E +0.155%K +0.177%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -7.52%E -5.19%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 06:24
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +1.24%E +0.155%K +0.177%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.39%EV -7.52%E -5.19%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.09%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 06:24
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV +1.24%E +0.155%K +0.177%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.94%EV -10.71%E -7.65%K -26.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 06:44
BetOnline.ag7.80I 12.82%NM 12.09%EV -1.29%E -0.165%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -8.09%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 06:44
LowVig.ag7.80I 12.82%NM 12.09%EV -1.29%E -0.165%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -8.09%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 06:44
1xBet7.60I 13.16%NM 12.32%EV -3.82%E -0.503%K -0.579%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.68%EV -6.24%E -4.25%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.09%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 06:45
Marathon Bet7.60I 13.16%NM 12.26%EV -3.82%E -0.503%K -0.579%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.84%EV -6.88%E -4.71%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.09%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 06:44
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 06:45
Betway7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -7.52%E -5.19%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 06:24
Bovada7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.34%EV -6.88%E -4.71%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 06:45
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -9.43%E -6.64%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -3.38%E -0.825%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 09:04
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.16%E -5.67%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 06:44
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.16%E -5.67%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 06:44
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.16%E -5.67%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 06:24
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -10.71%E -7.65%K -26.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -10.71%E -7.65%K -26.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 09:05
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 09:05
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 09:05
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 09:04
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 09:04
betPARX7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 09:05
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 09:05
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 09:04
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 09:04
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 09:05
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 09:04
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -5.09%E -0.678%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.03%EV -10.71%E -7.65%K -26.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -17.52%E -5.01%K -7.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-09 06:44
BetMGM7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV -8.25%E -1.14%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -8.16%E -5.67%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -3.38%E -0.825%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 06:24
PlayUp7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -8.25%E -1.14%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.55%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -11.63%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 06:34
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.48%EV -8.25%E -1.14%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -9.43%E -6.64%K -22.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 06:24
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.41%E -1.63%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 06:45
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.41%E -1.63%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.59%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 09:04
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -11.41%E -1.63%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.62%EV -13.26%E -9.75%K -36.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 17:29
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.22%EV -11.41%E -1.63%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 64.33%EV -15.17%E -11.41%K -45.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%EV -13.99%E -3.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-09 06:44
Betsson6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -12.68%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.52%E -5.19%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 06:44
NordicBet6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -12.68%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -7.52%E -5.19%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -6.92%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 06:44
Betclic (FR)6.90I 14.49%NM 13.19%EV -12.68%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.65%EV -8.80%E -6.15%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.16%EV -7.39%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 06:44
Unibet (FR)6.60I 15.15%NM 13.30%EV -16.48%E -2.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.60%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 06:44
Fanatics6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -17.74%E -2.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -4.33%E -2.89%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 06:44
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -17.74%E -2.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.16%E -5.67%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.74%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 06:44
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -17.74%E -2.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -10.71%E -7.65%K -26.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-09 06:44
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -24.07%E -4.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -8.16%E -5.67%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 06:44
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -24.07%E -4.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -8.16%E -5.67%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 06:44
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -24.07%E -4.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -8.16%E -5.67%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 06:44
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -24.07%E -4.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -8.16%E -5.67%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.45%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 06:44
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.68%EV -24.07%E -4.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.45%EV -10.07%E -7.14%K -24.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.87%EV -9.27%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 06:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-05-09 06:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-05-09 06:34
Matchbook9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-05-09 06:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.31%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-05-09 06:44
Smarkets9.60I 10.42%NM 10.20%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-05-09 06:44
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.74%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-05-09 06:35