La escuela de los momios

Gwangju FC v FC Anyang

Inicio: 2026-04-26 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Predicción 26.08%3.83momio equitativo
EV -0.905%
Ventaja -0.238%
Kelly -0.323%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.14%26.30%25.96%30.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.323.383.8034.72%30.16%29.63%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Anyang (Visitante)

Predicción 44.07%2.27momio equitativo
EV +2.68%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +2.01%
Crecimiento +0.054%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.08%43.80%44.14%45.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.892.142.112.3352.91%46.75%47.39%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.85%3.35momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -0.915%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.77%29.90%29.90%31.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.033.003.2534.48%32.99%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -21.77%E -7.26%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV +2.68%E +1.15%K +2.01%G +0.054%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.94%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -21.77%E -7.26%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.46%EV +2.24%E +0.964%K +1.69%G +0.038%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -8.94%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 07:40
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -21.77%E -7.26%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.46%EV +2.24%E +0.964%K +1.69%G +0.038%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -8.94%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 07:40
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -23.07%E -7.82%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 07:40
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -23.07%E -7.82%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 07:40
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -23.07%E -7.82%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 07:40
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -23.07%E -7.82%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 07:40
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -23.07%E -7.82%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 07:40
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -23.07%E -7.82%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 07:40
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -23.07%E -7.82%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 07:40
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -23.07%E -7.82%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 07:40
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -23.07%E -7.82%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 07:40
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -23.07%E -7.82%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 07:40
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -24.38%E -8.41%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.08%EV +0.475%E +0.208%K +0.371%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -11.93%E -4.04%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 07:40
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.60%EV -24.90%E -8.64%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -1.73%E -0.775%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -11.93%E -4.04%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 07:40
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.94%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 17:59
BetOnline.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.94%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 17:59
Pinnacle3.74I 26.74%NM 25.44%EV -2.47%E -0.660%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 07:40
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 19:05
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:20
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:20
1xBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -5.69%E -2.66%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 08:15
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -6.58%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 08:09
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.58%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 04:45
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.97%E -0.915%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:00
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 07:34
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 19:05
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 07:34
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 11:45
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:00
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 11:00
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 19:05
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.13%EV -7.90%E -3.78%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.94%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 04:47
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.94%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 16:50
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.94%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 16:50
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -0.905%E -0.238%K -0.323%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.93%E -4.04%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 22:50
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 11:45
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 07:34
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.94%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 07:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.94%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 07:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.94%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 07:35
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.94%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 07:34
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-22 11:29
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.94%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -8.94%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-21 16:50
Betclic (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 25.99%EV -13.42%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.47%EV -14.51%E -7.48%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.54%EV -12.82%E -4.39%K -6.68%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-21 16:49
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 26.95%EV -17.86%E -5.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 43.77%EV -14.51%E -7.48%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.28%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-21 16:49
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.28%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.26%EV -14.95%E -7.75%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.46%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-23 08:14
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%EV -12.64%E -3.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 45.35%EV -16.71%E -8.84%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.06%EV -11.93%E -4.04%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-21 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.48%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%8.0%2026-04-24 00:30
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%11.8%2026-04-23 07:34