L’École des cotes

Gangwon FC v Pohang Steelers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 07:30 UTC

Score final : Gangwon FC 1–1 Pohang Steelers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gangwon FC (Local)

Prévision 49.10%2.04cote équitable
EV -3.76%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -3.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.59%49.13%49.07%51.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.881.881.9658.14%53.17%53.19%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pohang Steelers (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.88%4.79cote équitable
EV +4.38%
Avantage +0.875%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.37%20.90%20.83%23.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.244.205.0027.03%23.58%23.81%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.02%3.33cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.745%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.74%29.98%30.10%31.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.053.2535.71%32.84%32.79%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -8.67%E -4.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV +4.38%E +0.875%K +1.09%G +0.048%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 07:14
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV +4.38%E +0.875%K +1.09%G +0.048%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 06:55
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.07%EV -8.67%E -4.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.34%EV +2.50%E +0.508%K +0.638%G +0.016%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.59%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 07:20
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -8.18%E -4.38%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV +2.29%E +0.467%K +0.587%G +0.013%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 07:25
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -4.74%E -2.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.82%EV +1.66%E +0.341%K +0.429%G +0.007%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.44%EV -4.82%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 07:14
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -10.15%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -0.844%E -0.178%K -0.225%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -13.53%E -4.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-05 07:15
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -8.18%E -4.38%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -1.89%E -0.402%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 07:25
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -8.18%E -4.38%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -2.93%E -0.630%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 07:25
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -3.97%E -0.864%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -2.42%E -0.745%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 07:25
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -3.97%E -0.864%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 07:18
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.97%E -0.864%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 07:24
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.97%E -0.864%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 07:25
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -10.15%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -3.97%E -0.864%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -15.93%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-05 07:14
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.06%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 06:25
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -8.18%E -4.38%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.06%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 07:25
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -8.18%E -4.38%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.06%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 07:24
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.25%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -8.15%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -5.42%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 07:05
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -4.25%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.15%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 07:10
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -9.61%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -2.42%E -0.745%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 07:25
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -10.15%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -9.61%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-05 07:00
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -6.22%E -3.26%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -11.28%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.92%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 07:20
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.07%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.49%EV -11.28%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 07:25
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.07%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.49%EV -11.28%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 07:09
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 07:04
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.15%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.15%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.15%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:20
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.15%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.93%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.10%EV -13.09%E -7.40%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.94%EV -13.37%E -3.22%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.97%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-05 07:09
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.41%E -3.52%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-05 07:10
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -14.41%E -3.52%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-05 07:19
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 49.69%EV -15.55%E -9.04%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.84%EV -14.41%E -3.52%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.47%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-05 07:25
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.18%EV -12.11%E -6.77%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.56%EV -16.50%E -4.12%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.26%EV -14.43%E -5.06%K -7.80%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-05 07:13
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.13%EV -10.64%E -5.84%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.18%EV -17.54%E -4.44%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-05 07:10
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 46.70%EV -3.76%E -1.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -19.63%E -5.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.53%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 06:49
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 46.59%EV -4.74%E -2.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -20.67%E -5.44%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 06:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.59%EV -4.74%E -2.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -20.67%E -5.44%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 06:50
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.71%EV -5.24%E -2.71%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -20.67%E -5.44%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 06:50
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.71%EV -5.24%E -2.71%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -20.67%E -5.44%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 06:49
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.71%EV -5.24%E -2.71%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -20.67%E -5.44%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 06:49
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 46.71%EV -5.24%E -2.71%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -20.67%E -5.44%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 06:49
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 46.71%EV -5.24%E -2.71%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -20.67%E -5.44%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 06:50
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.71%EV -5.24%E -2.71%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -20.67%E -5.44%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 06:49
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.71%EV -5.24%E -2.71%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -20.67%E -5.44%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 06:49
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.71%EV -5.24%E -2.71%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -20.67%E -5.44%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 06:50
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 46.71%EV -5.24%E -2.71%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -20.67%E -5.44%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 06:50
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.71%EV -5.24%E -2.71%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -20.67%E -5.44%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-05 06:49
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 46.70%EV -5.73%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -21.72%E -5.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -8.43%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 06:50
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.61%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -22.76%E -6.15%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-05 06:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.72%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.42%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.42%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.55%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%1.0%2026-05-05 07:25
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-05-05 07:25
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.19%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.04%2.3%2026-05-05 07:25