La escuela de los momios

Gangwon FC v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Inicio: 2026-04-18 05:00 UTC

Final: Gangwon FC 1–1 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gangwon FC (Local)

Predicción 37.66%2.66momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.805%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.23%37.52%37.67%38.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.462.502.6044.84%40.59%40.00%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visitante)

Predicción 31.39%3.19momio equitativo
EV +1.40%
Ventaja +0.434%
Kelly +0.629%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.96%31.62%31.28%35.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.792.773.2340.00%35.90%36.04%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.95%3.23momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -0.797%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.33%30.86%31.06%31.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.003.1536.36%33.39%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.96%EV +1.40%E +0.434%K +0.629%G +0.009%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.94%EV -6.22%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 04:45
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.32%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.08%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 09:29
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.32%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.08%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 09:30
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 04:30
Bovada2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -8.49%E -3.50%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 04:44
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.57%EV -7.36%E -2.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.21%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -2.82%E -0.898%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -6.61%E -2.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 04:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 04:30
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 04:50
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 04:50
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 37.87%EV -8.87%E -3.67%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.38%EV -8.33%E -2.85%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.75%EV -7.77%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 04:40
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 37.87%EV -8.87%E -3.67%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.38%EV -8.33%E -2.85%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.75%EV -7.77%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 04:40
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 04:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 04:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 04:40
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 04:40
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -10.53%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 04:35
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -10.53%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 04:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -11.51%E -4.90%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.53%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 04:40
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -12.10%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 04:45
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.10%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 04:45
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -15.27%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -12.10%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -13.34%E -4.76%K -7.41%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-18 04:40
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 38.65%EV -16.03%E -7.19%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -12.10%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.56%EV -12.72%E -4.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-18 04:38
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 04:45
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 04:45
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 04:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 04:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 04:30
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 04:30
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 04:40
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -15.27%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.03%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.03%EV -14.89%E -5.41%K -8.51%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-18 04:40
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.38%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -15.24%E -5.64%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 04:45
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -2.09%E -0.805%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -18.38%E -7.07%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -18.38%E -7.07%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 05:15
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -18.38%E -7.07%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 05:14
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -19.95%E -7.82%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 04:05
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -19.95%E -7.82%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 04:05
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -19.95%E -7.82%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 04:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -19.95%E -7.82%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 04:05
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -19.95%E -7.82%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 04:05
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -19.95%E -7.82%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 04:05
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -19.95%E -7.82%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 04:05
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -19.95%E -7.82%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 04:05
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -19.95%E -7.82%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 04:05
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -19.95%E -7.82%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 04:05
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -19.95%E -7.82%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 04:05
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -6.61%E -2.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -21.52%E -8.61%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 04:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.64%1.0%2026-04-18 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%1.7%2026-04-18 04:55
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%1.7%2026-04-18 04:55
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63%2.0%2026-04-18 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63%2.0%2026-04-18 04:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.34%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08%2.2%2026-04-18 04:55