Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Gangwon FC v Gwangju FC

Inicio: 2026-08-26 10:29 UTC

Final: Gangwon FC 2–2 Gwangju FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Gangwon FC (Local)

Predicción 62.54%1.60momio equitativo
EV -4.31%
Ventaja -2.82%
Kelly -8.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.28%62.48%62.58%63.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.76%68.97%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gwangju FC (Visitante)

Predicción 13.82%7.24momio equitativo
EV +1.15%
Ventaja +0.158%
Kelly +0.183%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.81%13.87%13.81%15.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.006.586.757.3216.67%15.20%14.81%13.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.64%4.23momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -0.575%
Kelly -0.759%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.02%23.64%23.62%24.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.813.754.1327.78%26.25%26.67%24.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gangwon FC (Local): 62.54%; Gwangju FC (Visitante): 13.82%; Empate: 23.64%. Para Gwangju FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.24. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.32, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.15%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.98%EV -4.31%E -2.82%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.16%EV +1.15%E +0.158%K +0.183%G +0.002%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.85%EV -4.50%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-26 10:19
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.75%EV -7.44%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.81%EV +0.187%E +0.026%K +0.030%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-26 10:19
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:09
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:24
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -7.44%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-26 10:24
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.82%EV -8.06%E -5.48%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-26 10:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.31%E -6.42%K -20.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-26 09:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.70%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -12.54%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-26 10:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -8.06%E -5.48%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -4.65%E -0.674%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -4.27%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 10:24
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.96%EV -5.56%E -3.68%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.02%EV -6.31%E -0.930%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -2.38%E -0.575%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 10:24
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 10:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 10:09
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-26 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.97%EV -10.56%E -7.39%K -24.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-19 10:49
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.93%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.93%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 10:49
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.93%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 10:49
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.93%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.93%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.93%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.93%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.93%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 10:50
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.93%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.93%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.10%EV -11.81%E -8.38%K -28.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -6.72%E -0.996%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-26 09:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 09:39
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-26 10:18
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-26 10:14
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-26 09:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-26 09:34
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.67%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-26 10:19
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.08%EV -13.69%E -9.92%K -36.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.39%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -12.54%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-26 09:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.45%EV -11.81%E -8.38%K -28.81%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.76%EV -11.56%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -12.54%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-26 10:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.09%EV -14.94%E -10.99%K -41.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.41%EV -11.56%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.51%EV -13.72%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-26 09:34
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.53%EV -8.06%E -5.48%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.36%EV -12.94%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-26 09:39
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.53%EV -8.06%E -5.48%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.36%EV -12.94%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-26 09:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%EV -8.06%E -5.48%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -13.63%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -6.63%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 10:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -7.44%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -13.63%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-26 10:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.78%EV -9.31%E -6.42%K -20.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -13.63%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-26 10:04
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.28%EV -8.06%E -5.48%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-26 09:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.79%EV -9.31%E -6.42%K -20.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-26 09:59
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-26 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-26 10:19
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-26 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-26 10:19
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-26 09:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -10.56%E -7.39%K -24.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -13.72%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-26 10:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.18%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-08-26 10:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.18%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-08-26 10:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-26 10:19
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-26 10:19
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.71%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53%1.9%2026-08-26 10:14