La escuela de los momios

Gangwon FC v FC Seoul

Inicio: 2026-04-25 05:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gangwon FC (Local)

Predicción 35.90%2.79momio equitativo
EV -4.50%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.94%35.90%35.91%37.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.542.552.6643.48%39.43%39.22%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Seoul (Visitante)

Predicción 33.32%3.00momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.25%33.32%33.28%34.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.712.702.8939.22%36.84%37.04%34.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.78%3.25momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -0.968%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.66%30.78%30.81%31.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.903.1536.36%33.99%34.48%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 35.81%EV -4.50%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.96%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 06:20
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -4.86%E -1.83%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 16:25
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -5.94%E -2.27%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -5.94%E -2.27%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 15:15
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -6.65%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.71%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:24
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.65%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.71%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:34
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 35.95%EV -6.65%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.68%EV -4.71%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -8.28%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:14
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 35.95%EV -6.65%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.68%EV -4.71%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -8.28%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:15
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.65%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 06:04
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.65%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.84%EV -5.37%E -1.89%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -8.28%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:35
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.65%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.84%EV -5.37%E -1.89%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -8.28%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:30
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.65%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.71%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 08:25
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.65%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 05:20
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -6.65%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 05:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -6.65%E -2.56%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 05:20
Bovada2.58I 38.76%NM 35.77%EV -7.37%E -2.86%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -6.71%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 06:06
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 22:50
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.71%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 06:20
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:19
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:49
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 05:20
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 05:20
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 05:20
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 05:20
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 05:20
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 05:20
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 05:20
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 05:20
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 05:20
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 05:20
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 05:20
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.34%EV -9.53%E -3.78%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.94%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.73%EV -8.28%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:29
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.34%EV -9.53%E -3.78%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.94%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.73%EV -8.28%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:34
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.24%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:49
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.24%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 06:18
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.24%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 23:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -10.24%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 00:54
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.24%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.37%E -4.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-21 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.24%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.37%E -4.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-21 16:25
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -10.24%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.83%EV -11.67%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-21 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -10.24%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.83%EV -11.67%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-21 16:24
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -10.24%E -4.10%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -13.37%E -5.14%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.90%EV -12.28%E -4.31%K -6.64%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 05:20
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.04%E -4.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 12:35
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -12.04%E -4.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 06:19
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.60%EV -15.63%E -6.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.73%EV -15.04%E -5.90%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 12:35
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.25%EV -15.63%E -6.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.77%EV -13.37%E -5.14%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.98%EV -15.36%E -5.59%K -8.78%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-23 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 36.91%EV -16.35%E -7.02%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.70%EV -12.37%E -4.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.39%EV -12.90%E -4.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 12:35
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.38%EV -17.42%E -7.58%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.45%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.17%EV -12.28%E -4.31%K -6.64%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 12:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%4.9%2026-04-23 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%4.9%2026-04-23 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%4.9%2026-04-23 17:10
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%5.1%2026-04-23 23:30
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 36.35%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.99%10.0%2026-04-24 02:55