La escuela de los momios

Gangwon FC v FC Anyang

Inicio: 2026-03-15 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gangwon FC (Local)

Predicción 44.47%2.25momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -2.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.43%44.58%44.45%46.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.022.052.1754.05%49.40%48.78%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Anyang (Visitante)

Predicción 24.45%4.09momio equitativo
EV +0.265%
Ventaja +0.065%
Kelly +0.085%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.09%24.43%24.49%25.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.743.754.1028.57%26.76%26.67%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.07%3.22momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.672%
Kelly -0.985%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.60%30.98%31.06%32.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.943.003.1538.46%33.97%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74%EV -4.83%E -2.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%EV +0.265%E +0.065%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 07:15
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74%EV -4.83%E -2.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%EV +0.265%E +0.065%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 07:15
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.57%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.82%EV -0.713%E -0.176%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.61%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 07:15
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -2.18%E -0.545%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 07:20
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.43%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -5.12%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -8.02%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 07:20
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -7.50%E -3.61%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -2.12%E -0.672%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 07:10
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.95%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 07:15
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.30%EV -7.50%E -3.61%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 07:10
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.57%EV -12.39%E -6.29%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 07:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 07:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 07:00
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:00
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.33%EV -12.84%E -6.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -5.22%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.33%EV -12.84%E -6.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -5.22%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 10:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -11.06%E -5.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 07:20
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 07:10
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 07:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 07:00
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.50%E -3.61%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.42%EV -9.26%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 07:10
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.50%E -3.61%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.42%EV -9.26%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 07:09
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -13.28%E -6.81%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 07:00
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -13.28%E -6.81%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 07:00
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -13.28%E -6.81%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 07:00
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 46.21%EV -13.73%E -7.08%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 07:00
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.21%EV -13.73%E -7.08%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 07:00
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 46.21%EV -13.73%E -7.08%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 07:00
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.21%EV -13.73%E -7.08%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 07:00
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 46.21%EV -13.73%E -7.08%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 07:00
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 46.21%EV -13.73%E -7.08%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 07:00
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.21%EV -13.73%E -7.08%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 07:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 46.34%EV -14.17%E -7.34%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-13 10:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -11.06%E -5.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 07:20
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.80%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 07:20
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 07:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 07:10
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 07:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.06%E -5.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-15 07:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.53%EV -13.28%E -6.81%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -13.19%E -3.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.01%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-15 07:10
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 45.30%EV -15.95%E -8.44%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.12%EV -13.19%E -3.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.58%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-15 07:20
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.50%EV -13.73%E -7.08%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.45%EV -13.67%E -3.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.05%EV -13.61%E -4.90%K -7.65%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-15 07:07
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 07:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -10.82%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 07:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -10.82%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 07:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.47%EV -11.95%E -6.03%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 07:10
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.00%EV -11.95%E -6.03%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-15 07:14
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 44.64%EV -17.73%E -9.58%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.60%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.76%EV -19.21%E -7.39%K -12.00%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-15 07:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47%0.9%2026-03-15 07:15
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.71%1.1%2026-03-15 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-03-15 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-03-15 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-03-15 07:15
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51%2.4%2026-03-15 07:15