Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Seoul v Bucheon FC 1995

Inicio: 2026-08-25 10:30 UTC

Final: FC Seoul 1–0 Bucheon FC 1995

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Seoul (Local)

Predicción 67.19%1.49momio equitativo
EV -5.26%
Ventaja -3.73%
Kelly -12.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.21%67.39%67.06%69.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.241.341.361.4180.65%74.39%73.53%70.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bucheon FC 1995 (Visitante)

Predicción 13.23%7.56momio equitativo
EV +5.86%
Ventaja +0.733%
Kelly +0.837%
Crecimiento +0.049%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.29%13.07%13.36%14.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.257.107.008.0016.00%14.09%14.29%12.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 19.58%5.11momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -0.545%
Kelly -0.682%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.73%19.54%19.58%21.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.304.634.704.9723.26%21.61%21.28%20.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Seoul (Local): 67.19%; Bucheon FC 1995 (Visitante): 13.23%; Empate: 19.58%. Para Bucheon FC 1995 (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.56. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.86%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -7.28%E -5.27%K -19.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +5.86%E +0.733%K +0.837%G +0.049%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 09:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.49%EV -12.65%E -9.73%K -42.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV +5.86%E +0.733%K +0.837%G +0.049%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-25 10:19
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.34%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.27%EV +3.88%E +0.494%K +0.566%G +0.022%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.39%EV -2.71%E -0.545%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -11.31%E -8.57%K -35.34%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +3.22%E +0.412%K +0.473%G +0.015%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -4.08%E -0.832%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 09:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 09:49
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.04%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 10:29
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.13%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -15.82%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 10:24
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 10:14
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -13.32%E -10.33%K -45.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 10:19
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -13.32%E -10.33%K -45.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -13.32%E -10.33%K -45.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 10:19
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -13.32%E -10.33%K -45.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -13.32%E -10.33%K -45.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 10:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -13.32%E -10.33%K -45.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 10:19
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -13.32%E -10.33%K -45.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 10:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -13.32%E -10.33%K -45.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 10:19
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -13.32%E -10.33%K -45.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -13.32%E -10.33%K -45.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.02%EV -14.00%E -10.93%K -49.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-25 10:19
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 68.89%EV -14.67%E -11.55%K -54.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.67%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-25 10:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 69.40%EV -16.68%E -13.45%K -69.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.47%EV -0.755%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-25 10:19
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.81%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.69%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.49%EV -4.66%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 10:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.59%EV -7.28%E -5.27%K -19.15%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV -3.40%E -0.466%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 10:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.98%EV -9.29%E -6.88%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -4.06%E -0.560%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 09:49
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.15%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -4.08%E -0.832%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 10:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.08%E -0.832%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 10:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.08%E -0.832%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 10:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 10:19
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 10:20
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.28%E -5.27%K -19.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-25 10:24
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -7.28%E -5.27%K -19.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 10:28
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -7.37%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-25 10:19
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.57%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -10.02%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 10:19
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.57%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -10.02%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.63%EV -9.96%E -7.44%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.53%EV -12.66%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-25 10:18
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.28%E -5.27%K -19.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 10:19
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 10:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 10:20
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-25 10:19
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-25 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-25 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-25 09:30
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-25 09:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.91%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 10:25
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.15%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.32%EV -15.24%E -3.52%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-25 10:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 66.53%EV -11.31%E -8.57%K -35.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -13.99%E -2.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-25 10:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 66.39%EV -11.31%E -8.57%K -35.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.69%EV -15.31%E -2.39%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.92%EV -13.87%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-25 10:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.63%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -17.30%E -2.77%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -6.04%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.52%EV -9.29%E -6.88%K -26.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -17.30%E -2.77%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -7.99%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-25 10:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-08-25 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.19%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.1%2026-08-25 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.19%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.1%2026-08-25 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.19%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.1%2026-08-25 10:25
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.57%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-08-25 10:25
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.49%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.66%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.84%2.1%2026-08-25 10:25