La escuela de los momios

FC Anyang v Pohang Steelers

Inicio: 2026-07-04 10:30 UTC

Final: FC Anyang 2–3 Pohang Steelers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Anyang (Local)

Predicción 30.13%3.32momio equitativo
EV +0.933%
Ventaja +0.278%
Kelly +0.397%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.70%30.20%30.14%32.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.982.973.3536.36%33.59%33.67%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pohang Steelers (Visitante)

Predicción 38.67%2.59momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.94%38.59%38.76%39.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.392.402.5045.45%41.92%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.20%3.21momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -0.956%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.24%31.21%31.10%32.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.953.1136.36%34.10%33.90%32.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV +0.933%E +0.278%K +0.397%G +0.004%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.36%EV -4.87%E -1.98%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-04 10:15
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.925%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.83%EV -5.64%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.01%EV -7.65%E -2.59%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 10:15
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.925%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.83%EV -5.64%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.01%EV -7.65%E -2.59%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 10:15
1xBet3.21I 31.15%NM 29.58%EV -3.29%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.89%EV -7.96%E -3.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.53%EV -2.97%E -0.956%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 10:25
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 09:44
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -9.21%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 10:24
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 10:25
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -11.09%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 09:50
SportsBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.09%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.53%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 09:45
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 09:40
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 10:15
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 10:20
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.96%E -3.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 10:05
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.96%E -3.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.53%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 10:15
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.29%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 09:35
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 09:35
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 09:30
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 09:35
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.96%E -3.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.25%EV -8.90%E -3.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 09:40
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.96%E -3.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.25%EV -8.90%E -3.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 09:40
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 10:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.05%E -4.81%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.65%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-04 09:45
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.05%E -4.81%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -14.21%E -5.17%K -8.12%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-04 09:45
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.10%EV -10.52%E -3.54%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.86%EV -11.05%E -4.81%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.04%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 10:05
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 09:40
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.47%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.15%EV -14.15%E -6.37%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.90%K -7.67%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-04 10:20
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -12.63%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -3.32%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.41%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 10:20
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -12.63%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-04 09:35
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -12.63%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -7.96%E -3.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.53%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -12.63%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -7.96%E -3.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.53%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -12.63%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.96%EV -8.35%E -3.52%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -9.53%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 09:30
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -12.63%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.96%EV -8.35%E -3.52%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -9.53%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 09:30
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -12.63%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.52%EV -14.92%E -6.78%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.50%EV -11.09%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-04 10:10
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.49%EV -13.23%E -4.59%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -12.99%E -5.77%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.49%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-04 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -14.13%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 10:20
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -14.13%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.99%E -5.77%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -9.53%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-04 09:40
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -15.64%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 10:20
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -15.64%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 10:20
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -15.64%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 10:20
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -15.64%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 10:20
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -15.64%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 10:20
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -15.64%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 10:20
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -15.64%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 10:20
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -15.64%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 10:20
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -15.64%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 10:20
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -15.64%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 10:20
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -17.14%E -6.23%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -7.97%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-03 21:20
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -17.14%E -6.23%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -11.09%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-04 10:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-07-04 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-07-04 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-07-04 10:25
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-07-04 10:25
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.95%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.18%1.9%2026-07-04 10:25