La escuela de los momios

FC Anyang v Jeju United FC

Inicio: 2026-03-08 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Anyang (Local)

Predicción 41.71%2.40momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.38%41.69%41.67%43.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.192.202.3151.28%45.70%45.45%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jeju United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 27.80%3.60momio equitativo
EV +2.29%
Ventaja +0.624%
Kelly +0.856%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.28%27.85%27.80%29.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.213.153.6834.48%31.18%31.75%27.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.49%3.28momio equitativo
EV +0.613%
Ventaja +0.186%
Kelly +0.267%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.68%30.46%30.53%31.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.833.023.053.3035.34%33.09%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.23%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.28%EV +2.29%E +0.624%K +0.856%G +0.020%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.50%EV -6.40%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 07:20
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV +0.071%E +0.020%K +0.027%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 07:20
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV +0.071%E +0.020%K +0.027%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 07:19
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.02%EV -7.81%E -3.54%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV +0.071%E +0.020%K +0.027%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.57%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 07:24
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.03%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -2.71%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.56%EV -10.67%E -3.64%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 07:23
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.10%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 07:05
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.20%EV -7.81%E -3.54%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -7.31%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 07:25
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 07:24
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 07:19
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 07:24
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 07:24
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:05
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 07:10
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 07:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 06:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV +0.613%E +0.186%K +0.267%G +0.002%5.5%2026-03-08 07:04
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -0.911%E -0.280%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 07:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -2.44%E -0.761%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 07:25
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 07:10
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 07:10
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 07:09
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -12.44%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 07:20
Unibet (FR)2.09I 47.85%NM 41.86%EV -12.82%E -6.13%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -12.44%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.37%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.49%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-08 07:19
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -12.44%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -13.11%E -4.60%K -7.08%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-08 07:19
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:04
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-08 07:19
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-08 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -12.50%E -4.35%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-08 07:19
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -12.50%E -4.35%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-08 07:20
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-08 07:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-08 07:09
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.92%EV -14.49%E -7.07%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.36%EV -13.72%E -4.85%K -7.50%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-08 07:18
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -15.22%E -4.99%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 07:04
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -15.22%E -4.99%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 07:04
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 07:04
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 07:04
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 07:04
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 07:05
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 07:05
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 07:05
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 07:04
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 07:04
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 07:05
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.07%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 07:04
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 41.18%EV -9.90%E -4.58%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -16.61%E -5.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.17%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-08 07:04
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.65%EV -18.66%E -9.57%K -19.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -19.39%E -6.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-08 07:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%1.0%2026-03-08 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%1.0%2026-03-08 07:25
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%1.0%2026-03-08 07:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-03-08 07:10
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.28%3.1%2026-03-08 07:19
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%5.0%2026-03-08 07:05