Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Anyang v Gangwon FC

Inicio: 2026-09-06 10:00 UTC

Final: FC Anyang 0–3 Gangwon FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Anyang (Local)

Predicción 31.16%3.21momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -0.590%
Kelly -0.865%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.52%30.95%31.14%32.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.772.993.003.1536.10%33.43%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gangwon FC (Visitante)

Predicción 39.27%2.55momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -0.895%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.88%39.56%39.23%42.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.022.262.302.4949.50%44.23%43.48%40.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.58%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.724%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.55%29.49%29.63%30.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.083.103.3034.48%32.43%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Anyang (Local): 31.16%; Gangwon FC (Visitante): 39.27%; Empate: 29.58%. Para FC Anyang (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.21. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.15, con un valor esperado de -1.86%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -1.86%E -0.590%K -0.865%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -2.39%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 09:14
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -1.86%E -0.590%K -0.865%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -16.76%E -7.90%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 09:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.42%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 09:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.42%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 08:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -3.42%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -17.54%E -8.35%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 09:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -3.42%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -17.54%E -8.35%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 09:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -3.42%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -17.54%E -8.35%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 09:25
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -3.42%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -17.54%E -8.35%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 09:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -3.42%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -17.54%E -8.35%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 09:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -3.42%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -17.54%E -8.35%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 09:25
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -3.42%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -17.54%E -8.35%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 09:25
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -3.42%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -17.54%E -8.35%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 09:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -3.42%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -17.54%E -8.35%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 09:25
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -3.42%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -17.54%E -8.35%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -3.42%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.50%EV -18.33%E -8.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 09:25
Pinnacle🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.53%EV -4.35%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.87%EV -2.23%E -0.895%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.60%EV -3.28%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 09:55
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 09:50
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45%EV -19.51%E -9.51%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-06 09:25
1xBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.92%EV -5.60%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.04%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.03%EV -7.71%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.91%E -1.96%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -7.71%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 09:50
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 09:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 09:40
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 09:40
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 09:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 09:19
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 09:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -13.62%E -6.19%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 09:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 42.41%EV -20.68%E -10.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-06 09:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.77%EV -7.16%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.17%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.77%EV -7.16%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.17%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 09:50
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 09:40
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 09:40
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.65%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 09:45
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.65%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 09:45
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -9.65%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.71%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -7.71%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 09:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.65%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 09:40
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.65%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 09:40
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.65%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.22%E -4.90%K -7.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 09:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -9.65%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.62%E -6.19%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 09:40
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.27%E -3.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.27%E -3.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 09:40
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.27%E -3.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 09:40
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.58%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.58%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -11.21%E -3.93%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 09:40
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 09:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.76%EV -10.87%E -4.79%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.82%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 09:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.14%EV -13.70%E -4.95%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.88%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.98%EV -12.15%E -4.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 09:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-09-06 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-09-06 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-09-06 09:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-09-06 09:40
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-09-06 09:45
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-09-06 09:40