赔率学院

V-Varen Nagasaki v Fagiano Okayama

开赛时间： 2026-05-06 04:00 UTC

最终结果： V-Varen Nagasaki 2–1 Fagiano Okayama

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

V-Varen Nagasaki (主队)

预测 32.78%3.05公平赔率
EV -1.98%
优势 -0.662%
Kelly -0.995%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.99

博彩公司预测分布
31.56%33.05%32.71%36.77%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.522.792.802.9939.68%35.90%35.71%33.44%MIN均值中位数MAX

Fagiano Okayama (客队)

预测 37.16%2.69公平赔率
EV +3.29%
优势 +1.18%
Kelly +1.85%
增长率 +0.061%

假设最高赔率为 2.78

博彩公司预测分布
33.33%36.83%37.20%38.32%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.352.482.452.7842.55%40.32%40.82%35.97%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 30.06%3.33公平赔率
EV -3.80%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -1.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
28.56%30.13%30.10%31.34%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.903.023.053.2034.48%33.08%32.79%31.25%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -17.39%E -6.90%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV +3.29%E +1.18%K +1.85%G +0.061%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 11:40
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 32.37%EV -1.98%E -0.662%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.37%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-06 03:50
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -4.93%E -1.70%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.31%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 03:55
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.57%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 03:55
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.21%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 03:39
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -6.57%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -6.37%E -2.53%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -7.41%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 03:55
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.57%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 03:55
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.59%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 03:50
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -14.11%E -5.39%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-06 02:03
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.66%EV -7.55%E -2.68%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -7.85%E -3.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 03:55
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -5.59%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 03:49
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -5.59%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 03:50
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -5.59%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 03:49
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -5.59%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 03:49
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.49%E -4.25%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-06 03:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.49%E -4.25%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-06 03:40
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.49%E -4.25%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-06 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.49%E -4.25%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-06 03:39
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 33.37%EV -10.83%E -3.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.35%EV -9.71%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-06 03:39
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.85%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-06 03:55
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.85%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-06 03:55
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.21%E -2.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -12.68%E -5.40%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 03:55
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -13.13%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -12.68%E -5.40%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-06 03:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-05-06 03:55