默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kyoto Purple Sanga v Cerezo Osaka

开赛时间: 2026-03-14 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kyoto Purple Sanga (主队)

预测 41.97%2.38公平赔率
EV -3.89%
优势 -1.70%
Kelly -3.01%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.29

博彩公司预测分布
41.12%41.94%42.03%42.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.042.172.202.2949.02%45.98%45.45%43.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cerezo Osaka (客队)

预测 30.47%3.28公平赔率
EV -2.50%
优势 -0.781%
Kelly -1.14%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.89%30.47%30.43%30.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.852.993.003.2035.09%33.49%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.56%3.63公平赔率
EV -3.26%
优势 -0.929%
Kelly -1.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.51

博彩公司预测分布
26.78%27.59%27.54%28.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.303.253.5131.75%30.30%30.77%28.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Kyoto Purple Sanga (主队):41.97%;Cerezo Osaka (客队):30.47%;平局:27.56%。 对于“Cerezo Osaka (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.28。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.20,期望值为-2.50%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.23%EV -3.89%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV -2.50%E -0.781%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.55%EV -3.26%E -0.929%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 04:50
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 04:39
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 04:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 04:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.01%EV -6.83%E -3.07%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -4.94%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.50%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 04:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 04:49
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 04:49
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 04:50
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 04:40
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 04:40
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 04:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 04:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 04:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 04:50
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 04:39
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 04:40
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 04:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -13.16%E -4.62%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.36%EV -13.12%E -6.34%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 04:47
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -13.96%E -6.81%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -13.18%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 04:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.64%EV -14.38%E -7.05%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.00%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.36%EV -12.36%E -3.89%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-14 04:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 40.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.61%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%11.1%2026-03-14 04:55