La scuola delle quote

Kashiwa Reysol v Mito HollyHock

Inizio: 2026-03-22 07:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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22 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kashiwa Reysol (Casa)

Previsione 59.51%1.68quota equa
EV -5.97%
Vantaggio -3.78%
Kelly -10.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.71%59.64%59.48%60.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.461.531.531.5868.49%65.30%65.36%63.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mito HollyHock (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.59%6.41quota equa
EV +9.47%
Vantaggio +1.35%
Kelly +1.57%
Crescita +0.149%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.71%15.53%15.52%17.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.105.815.727.0219.61%17.22%17.47%14.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.89%4.02quota equa
EV -1.67%
Vantaggio -0.422%
Kelly -0.566%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.30%24.84%25.01%26.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.663.603.9528.57%27.30%27.78%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.90%EV -5.97%E -3.78%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.02I 14.25%NM 13.71%EV +9.47%E +1.35%K +1.57%G +0.149%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 06:50
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.45%EV +2.92%E +0.443%K +0.522%G +0.015%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -4.16%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 06:49
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.76%E -5.00%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV +0.582%E +0.090%K +0.107%G +0.001%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -8.39%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 06:34
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.44%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.40%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 06:49
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.44%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 06:35
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -7.76%E -5.00%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.44%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 06:33
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -7.76%E -5.00%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.44%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 06:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -6.44%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 06:35
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -6.44%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 06:34
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -6.44%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 06:34
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -7.76%E -5.00%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -10.33%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -2.91%E -0.747%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 06:05
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.76%E -5.00%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -11.11%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.40%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 06:34
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -9.54%E -6.28%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -11.11%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -1.67%E -0.422%K -0.566%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -14.23%E -2.59%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 06:34
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -14.23%E -2.59%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 06:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -14.23%E -2.59%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 06:34
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -14.23%E -2.59%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 06:35
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -9.54%E -6.28%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -15.79%E -2.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -2.91%E -0.747%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 06:34
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.26%EV -11.92%E -8.06%K -24.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -15.79%E -2.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.50%EV -10.88%E -3.04%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 06:33
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.50%EV -13.11%E -8.98%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 16.24%EV -16.57%E -3.10%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.26%EV -10.88%E -3.04%K -4.22%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 06:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.12%EV -12.52%E -8.52%K -26.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.40%EV -17.35%E -3.27%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48%EV -11.63%E -3.27%K -4.56%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 06:35
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.00%EV -11.33%E -7.60%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -20.47%E -4.01%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -7.89%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 06:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.13%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%2.9%2026-03-22 06:50