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JEF United Chiba v Fagiano Okayama
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
JEF United Chiba (Хозяева)
Прогноз 24.89%4.02справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.430%
Преимущество -0.108%
Kelly -0.143%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.05%24.74%24.91%25.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.683.654.0028.57%27.14%27.40%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Fagiano Okayama (Гости)
Прогноз 47.62%2.10справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.34%
Преимущество -1.64%
Kelly -3.24%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.03
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.67%47.77%47.61%49.84%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.851.941.942.0354.05%51.64%51.55%49.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.49%3.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.95%
Преимущество -0.837%
Kelly -1.17%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.53
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.92%27.48%27.48%28.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.363.403.5331.25%29.77%29.41%28.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: JEF United Chiba (Хозяева): 24.89%; Fagiano Okayama (Гости): 47.62%; Ничья: 27.49%. Для исхода «JEF United Chiba (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.02. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 4.00, математическое ожидание — -0.430%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.430%E -0.108%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 08:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -0.430%E -0.108%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -11.91%E -6.44%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 08:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.12%EV -1.92%E -0.488%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.25%EV -6.20%E -3.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.63%EV -5.43%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.93%EV -3.42%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.66%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.41%EV -2.95%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.86%EV -4.16%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.39%EV -3.82%E -1.89%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.86%EV -4.16%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.39%EV -3.82%E -1.89%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 09:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.35%EV -5.72%E -2.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -8.10%E -4.20%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 08:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.65%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.72%E -2.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.65%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.65%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -10.48%E -5.58%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.90%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -10.48%E -5.58%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.70%EV -8.40%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.59%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.71%EV -9.83%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -9.14%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -6.20%E -3.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -9.14%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -6.20%E -3.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -9.14%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -11.91%E -6.44%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.62%E -3.93%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.62%E -3.93%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.62%E -3.93%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.62%E -3.93%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.62%E -3.93%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.62%E -3.93%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.65%E -3.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -8.10%E -4.20%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -8.10%E -4.20%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -8.10%E -4.20%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -8.58%E -4.47%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -12.88%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.53%E -5.02%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.88%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.73% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.69% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57% | 2.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |