La scuola delle quote

Gamba Osaka v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Inizio: 2026-05-10 06:00 UTC

Finale: Gamba Osaka 0–1 Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gamba Osaka (Casa)

Previsione 28.13%3.56quota equa
EV +0.408%
Vantaggio +0.114%
Kelly +0.159%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.08%28.11%28.25%29.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.263.253.5733.33%30.68%30.77%28.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.57%2.24quota equa
EV -3.73%
Vantaggio -1.73%
Kelly -3.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.91%44.55%44.45%45.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.062.052.1650.51%48.55%48.78%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.31%3.66quota equa
EV -4.15%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.47%27.34%27.31%28.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.353.403.5131.25%29.87%29.41%28.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV +0.408%E +0.114%K +0.159%G +0.001%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38%EV -5.07%E -2.38%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -4.15%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 04:05
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.32%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -8.19%E -3.98%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.32%EV -6.61%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 04:05
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -4.18%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 04:04
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.41%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 04:05
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.41%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 04:04
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.41%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.62%E -3.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 04:05
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.41%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.62%E -3.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 04:04
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.64%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.64%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 20:15
Betclic (FR)3.27I 30.58%NM 28.03%EV -8.03%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.16%EV -9.53%E -4.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.81%EV -6.61%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 04:03
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.30%E -3.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 04:04
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.30%E -3.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 04:04
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.64%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 04:04
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 04:04
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 04:04
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.41%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 06:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 04:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 04:05
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 04:05
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 04:04
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:49
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.64%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 04:04
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -15.62%E -5.21%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -11.76%E -5.94%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 04:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-05-10 03:05