赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

FC Machida Zelvia v Kashiwa Reysol

开赛时间： 2026-04-11 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Machida Zelvia (主队)

预测 32.48%3.08公平赔率
EV -2.90%
优势 -0.969%
Kelly -1.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.99

博彩公司预测分布
31.62%32.49%32.38%33.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.822.812.9937.74%35.46%35.52%33.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kashiwa Reysol (客队)

预测 36.90%2.71公平赔率
EV -0.736%
优势 -0.274%
Kelly -0.435%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.69

博彩公司预测分布
35.99%36.88%36.98%38.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.472.502.6942.55%40.43%40.00%37.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.62%3.27公平赔率
EV -5.07%
优势 -1.64%
Kelly -2.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
29.25%30.64%30.64%31.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.902.993.003.1034.48%33.46%33.33%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：FC Machida Zelvia (主队)：32.48%；Kashiwa Reysol (客队)：36.90%；平局：30.62%。 对于“Kashiwa Reysol (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.71。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.69，期望值为-0.736%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.38%EV -2.90%E -0.969%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.99%EV -0.736%E -0.274%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.64%EV -6.29%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 04:35
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 04:18
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 04:25
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 04:15
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -8.49%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:25
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -8.49%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:25
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 04:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -7.44%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.33%EV -5.16%E -2.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -7.52%E -2.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 04:35
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.44%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 04:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -7.44%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -13.28%E -5.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.09%EV -8.09%E -2.86%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.84%EV -11.44%E -4.77%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.07%EV -7.52%E -2.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:34
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 04:45
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 04:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 04:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 04:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.44%E -4.77%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 04:25
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 04:24
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.44%E -4.77%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 04:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.44%E -4.77%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 04:15
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.44%E -4.77%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.69%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.44%E -4.77%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 04:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -13.94%E -5.26%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -13.28%E -5.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -9.66%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 04:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%3.1%2026-04-11 04:40