Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Virtus Entella v Modena

2026-11-08 14:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Virtus Entella (Local)

Predicción 30.82%3.24momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -0.922%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.59%30.86%30.76%32.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.983.003.1536.36%33.58%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Modena (Visitante)

Predicción 39.89%2.51momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -2.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.66%39.86%39.93%41.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.982.282.302.4150.51%43.90%43.48%41.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.29%3.41momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.41%29.28%29.31%30.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.113.103.3034.48%32.12%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Virtus Entella (Local): 30.82%; Modena (Visitante): 39.89%; Empate: 29.29%. Para Virtus Entella (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.24. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.15, con un valor esperado de -2.90%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -2.90%E -0.922%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -9.05%E -3.97%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 14:10
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -2.90%E -0.922%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -9.05%E -3.97%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 14:10
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -2.90%E -0.922%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -9.05%E -3.97%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -2.90%E -0.922%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -9.05%E -3.97%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -2.90%E -0.922%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -9.05%E -3.97%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 14:10
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -2.90%E -0.922%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -9.05%E -3.97%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -2.90%E -0.922%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -9.05%E -3.97%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -2.90%E -0.922%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -9.05%E -3.97%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 14:10
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -2.90%E -0.922%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -9.05%E -3.97%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 14:10
Pinnacle🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.71%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.63%EV -3.87%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.66%EV -5.70%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 15:25
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-01 14:50
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.35%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 14:15
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 14:19
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 15:15
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 15:15
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 14:10
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 14:10
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 14:10
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.96%EV -13.04%E -5.98%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 14:10
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 14:15
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.67%EV -13.44%E -6.19%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.42%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-01 14:10
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -9.99%E -3.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 31.96%EV -10.30%E -3.54%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.41%EV -5.86%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 14:50
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-01 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -13.44%E -6.19%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-01 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.23%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 29.94%EV -12.15%E -4.26%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.63%EV -16.23%E -7.73%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.42%EV -15.07%E -5.20%K -7.93%G +0.000%17.2%2026-11-01 14:10
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 18:30
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -14.24%E -6.62%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-01 14:19
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -15.07%E -5.20%K -7.93%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-01 14:17
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.59%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 41.84%EV -21.02%E -10.62%K -21.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.57%EV -15.07%E -5.20%K -7.93%G +0.000%20.7%2026-11-01 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -15.23%E -5.54%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -16.23%E -7.73%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%17.3%2026-11-01 14:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 30.57%2.16I 46.30%NM 39.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.52%16.0%2026-11-01 14:20