Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Vicenza v Cremonese

2026-11-08 18:30 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Vicenza (Local)

Predicción 32.69%3.06momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -0.870%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.93%32.87%32.65%36.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.682.702.9842.55%37.28%37.04%33.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cremonese (Visitante)

Predicción 38.53%2.60momio equitativo
EV +0.191%
Ventaja +0.073%
Kelly +0.119%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.96%38.37%38.55%39.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.402.402.6047.62%41.72%41.67%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.78%3.47momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.634%
Kelly -0.898%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.31%28.77%28.80%30.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.193.203.4034.48%31.37%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Vicenza (Local): 32.69%; Cremonese (Visitante): 38.53%; Empate: 28.78%. Para Cremonese (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.595. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.600, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.191%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV +0.191%E +0.073%K +0.119%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.15%E -0.634%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV +0.191%E +0.073%K +0.119%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.15%E -0.634%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 18:50
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -18.28%E -7.31%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -3.66%E -1.47%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 18:50
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -18.28%E -7.31%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -3.66%E -1.47%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 18:50
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -18.28%E -7.31%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -3.66%E -1.47%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -18.28%E -7.31%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -3.66%E -1.47%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 18:50
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -18.28%E -7.31%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -3.66%E -1.47%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -18.28%E -7.31%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -3.66%E -1.47%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 18:50
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -18.28%E -7.31%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -3.66%E -1.47%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 18:50
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.19%EV -18.94%E -7.64%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.19%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.19%EV -18.94%E -7.64%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.19%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.05%EV -2.59%E -0.870%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.66%EV -4.82%E -1.95%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.29%EV -6.18%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.48%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -19.92%E -8.13%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -19.92%E -8.13%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 18:50
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -6.75%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 19:50
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -6.75%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 19:50
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.36%EV -8.80%E -3.16%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.61%EV -7.13%E -2.96%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -4.46%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.36%EV -8.80%E -3.16%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.61%EV -7.13%E -2.96%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -4.46%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 19:15
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.15%E -0.634%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 19:50
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 18:49
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 19:10
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-02 01:20
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.86%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.86%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.86%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 19:45
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.86%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 19:50
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.48%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.35%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.48%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -16.54%E -5.70%K -8.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 20:55
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.48%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.42%EV -23.19%E -9.87%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.96%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.61%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-01 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.48%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -2.15%E -0.634%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 19:50
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 19:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 19:50
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.75%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-02 01:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.75%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-02 01:20
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.75%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-02 01:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.75%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-02 01:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-01 19:50
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -11.75%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -16.54%E -5.70%K -8.71%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-01 18:58
Betclic (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.82%EV -12.73%E -4.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.44%EV -12.14%E -5.32%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.23%E -4.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-01 19:48
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.21%EV -12.53%E -5.52%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -12.23%E -4.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.3%2026-11-02 01:39
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.75%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-02 02:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.52%EV -16.65%E -6.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.99%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-01 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.06%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.69%EV -19.08%E -9.08%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.25%EV -15.10%E -5.12%K -7.75%G +0.000%20.0%2026-11-01 19:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 33.13%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.10%16.1%2026-11-01 19:50