La escuela de los momiosUS Catanzaro 1929 v Monza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)
Predicción 35.06%2.85momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -0.915%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.37%34.99%35.09%36.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.662.652.7841.67%37.65%37.74%35.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Monza (Visitante)
Predicción 33.84%2.96momio equitativo
EV -0.523%
Ventaja -0.178%
Kelly -0.270%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.92%33.99%33.89%37.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.642.652.9442.02%37.82%37.74%34.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.11%3.21momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -0.638%
Kelly -0.935%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.30%31.02%31.02%32.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.46%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.64%EV -2.54%E -0.915%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.64%EV -2.54%E -0.915%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.94%EV -2.89%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.92%EV -0.523%E -0.178%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -6.36%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 17:20 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -15.41%E -6.16%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -15.41%E -6.16%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -15.41%E -6.16%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -15.41%E -6.16%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 17:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -15.41%E -6.16%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -15.41%E -6.16%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -15.41%E -6.16%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -15.41%E -6.16%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 17:30 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -15.41%E -6.16%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -15.41%E -6.16%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -2.01%E -0.638%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.37%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.93%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.37%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.93%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -9.79%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -16.09%E -6.49%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -17.10%E -6.98%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -17.10%E -6.98%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -17.78%E -7.32%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Bovada | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.46%EV -6.05%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.47%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 17:48 |
| BetUS | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.46%EV -6.05%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.47%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 17:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 17:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.10%E -2.68%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.54%EV -7.80%E -2.97%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06%EV -19.47%E -8.18%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.18%EV -8.15%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.89%EV -7.97%E -2.93%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.93%EV -7.30%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.18%EV -8.15%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.89%EV -7.97%E -2.93%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.93%EV -7.30%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.15%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.15%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.15%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.15%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.90%EV -8.15%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.86%EV -10.72%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.15%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.35%E -4.33%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -8.15%E -3.11%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -8.85%E -3.41%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.85%E -3.41%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.79%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.85%E -3.41%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.79%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.85%E -3.41%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.79%E -3.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -8.85%E -3.41%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -14.45%E -5.26%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -11.35%E -4.33%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.40%EV -9.66%E -3.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.62%EV -12.28%E -4.35%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.66%EV -12.36%E -4.94%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.39%EV -9.66%E -3.62%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.95%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 17:38 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.60%EV -12.36%E -4.94%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.23%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.36%E -4.94%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.35%E -4.33%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.41%E -3.61%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-24 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -12.36%E -4.94%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.30%EV -18.79%E -7.83%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.81%EV -14.45%E -5.26%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -15.87%E -6.61%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.96%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.65%EV -11.34%E -3.98%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.61% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.16% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.61% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.16% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.61% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.16% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 17:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.61% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.16% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 17:30 |