L’École des cotes

Spezia v Reggiana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 16:17 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Spezia (Local)

Prévision 46.45%2.15cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -3.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.37%46.44%46.31%47.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.981.972.0755.56%50.59%50.76%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Reggiana (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.54%4.25cote équitable
EV +0.980%
Avantage +0.228%
Kelly +0.298%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.85%23.48%23.71%25.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.833.754.2928.57%26.11%26.67%23.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.02%3.33cote équitable
EV -3.95%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%30.07%29.98%31.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.653.063.083.2037.74%32.69%32.41%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.95%EV -4.32%E -2.10%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.54%EV +0.980%E +0.228%K +0.298%G +0.003%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 16:14
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV +0.039%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 16:14
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV +0.039%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 16:15
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.14%E -0.271%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 16:14
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -1.14%E -0.271%K -0.356%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.46%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 16:15
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.48%EV -6.64%E -3.30%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.49%E -0.852%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.73%EV -8.75%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 16:14
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 46.30%EV -7.57%E -3.80%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.49%E -0.852%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -11.46%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:14
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -3.49%E -0.852%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.96%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 16:02
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.04%E -4.06%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:06
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 16:16
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 16:14
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.98%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:15
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.88%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 16:14
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 16:15
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 16:15
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.56%E -4.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 16:15
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -8.20%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:16
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.20%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 16:16
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.32%EV -10.36%E -5.37%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.20%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.27%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 16:14
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -8.20%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -15.96%E -5.70%K -8.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 16:16
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.73%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 16:14
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.73%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 16:14
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.59%EV -9.89%E -5.10%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.55%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 16:15
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.17%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.55%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.62%EV -13.56%E -4.71%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 16:15
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 16:15
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.96%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 16:14
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.96%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 16:16
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.96%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 16:14
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.96%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 16:14
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 16:16
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 16:14
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 16:15
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.05%EV -11.75%E -6.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.12%EV -7.85%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 16:12
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.17%EV -16.40%E -9.11%K -20.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.46%EV -12.91%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.36%EV -20.46%E -7.72%K -12.40%G +0.000%20.3%2026-02-28 16:15
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -8.04%E -4.06%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 16:15
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:15
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:06
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:16
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:16
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:15
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:16
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:15
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.83%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.19%EV -12.96%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-28 16:14
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.99%EV -15.00%E -8.20%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.45%EV -12.36%E -4.23%K -6.44%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 16:15
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -15.26%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 16:15
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -15.26%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.34%EV -13.61%E -7.32%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -15.26%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.72%EV -12.96%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-28 16:15
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -9.89%E -5.10%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -16.44%E -4.63%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -17.62%E -5.03%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -15.96%E -5.70%K -8.87%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-28 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%0.6%2026-02-28 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%0.6%2026-02-28 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-02-28 16:15
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-02-28 16:16
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.44%2.6%2026-02-28 16:15