L’École des cotes

Reggiana v Südtirol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-03 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Reggiana (Local)

Prévision 28.30%3.53cote équitable
EV +1.59%
Avantage +0.444%
Kelly +0.615%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 3.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.48%28.23%28.42%29.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.233.173.5933.33%30.94%31.50%27.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Südtirol (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.01%2.56cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.57%38.94%39.02%39.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.372.402.4847.62%42.12%41.67%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.69%3.06cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.43%32.83%32.56%34.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.782.752.9540.82%35.98%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV +1.59%E +0.444%K +0.615%G +0.010%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.33%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -6.19%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 18:50
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -0.953%E -0.272%K -0.381%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -3.25%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 18:35
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -0.953%E -0.272%K -0.381%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -3.25%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 18:35
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -0.953%E -0.272%K -0.381%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 17:30
1xBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -2.37%E -0.686%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -4.55%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 18:55
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -2.37%E -0.686%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.44%EV -8.71%E -3.72%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.81%EV -10.76%E -3.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 18:53
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.15%EV -2.65%E -0.771%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -9.13%E -3.28%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 18:55
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 18:10
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 18:40
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.65%EV -10.44%E -3.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:44
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.27%E -4.47%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 18:10
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.27%E -4.47%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -14.36%E -5.48%K -8.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-03 18:09
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -5.20%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.31%EV -3.57%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 18:25
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -4.42%E -1.80%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -3.57%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 18:44
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.42%E -1.80%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 18:05
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 18:20
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 18:45
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 18:20
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 18:20
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 18:45
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 18:10
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.27%E -4.47%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 18:54
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.42%E -1.80%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 14:29
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 18:45
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 18:40
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-03 18:11
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -5.20%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:40
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -5.20%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:35
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -5.20%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:35
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -5.20%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:35
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -5.20%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -5.20%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:35
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -5.20%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:35
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -5.20%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:35
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -5.20%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:35
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -5.20%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:35
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -5.20%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:35
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.27%E -4.47%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 18:20
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -10.27%E -4.47%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-03 18:45
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-03 18:35
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -18.28%E -7.31%K -12.19%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-03 18:35
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 18:40
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 18:40
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 18:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 18:40
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-03 18:35
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-03 18:35
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.62%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.45%EV -15.34%E -7.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.93%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-03 18:35
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 26.73%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.45%EV -18.07%E -8.61%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.82%EV -19.92%E -8.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-03 18:10
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32%EV -13.69%E -4.49%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.57%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-03 18:35
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -15.10%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-03 14:30
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -15.10%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-03 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.87%0.4%2026-03-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.87%0.4%2026-03-03 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.87%0.4%2026-03-03 18:55
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.87%0.4%2026-03-03 18:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.35%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.69%1.6%2026-03-03 18:56