La scuola delle quote

Pescara v Spezia

Inizio: 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Finale: Pescara 1–1 Spezia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pescara (Casa)

Previsione 44.74%2.24quota equa
EV -3.82%
Vantaggio -1.78%
Kelly -3.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.58%44.76%44.70%46.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.052.052.1552.36%48.85%48.78%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Spezia (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.29%3.30quota equa
EV -0.645%
Vantaggio -0.197%
Kelly -0.283%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.86%30.34%30.28%32.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.043.103.2835.71%32.94%32.26%30.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.97%4.00quota equa
EV -0.107%
Vantaggio -0.027%
Kelly -0.036%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.80%24.90%25.01%26.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.673.704.0031.25%27.24%27.03%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.107%E -0.027%K -0.036%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 18:14
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 18:24
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:19
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 18:15
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.37%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.32%EV -0.645%E -0.197%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 18:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.06%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -4.58%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:19
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:04
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 18:24
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.07%E -0.959%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:14
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 18:20
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 18:24
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 18:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.60%E -0.668%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 18:25
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:20
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:19
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -12.76%E -4.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 15:03
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.68%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.26%EV -4.89%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -1.36%E -0.343%K -0.460%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:24
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.30%EV -7.84%E -3.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.36%EV -8.10%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:25
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 17:55
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 17:55
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.07%E -0.959%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:23
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:54
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:25
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:25
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -13.67%E -4.80%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 18:25
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 18:04
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 18:19
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -8.74%E -4.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 17:55
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -8.74%E -4.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 17:55
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -8.74%E -4.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 17:54
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -8.74%E -4.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 17:55
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -8.74%E -4.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 17:54
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -8.74%E -4.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 17:54
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -8.74%E -4.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 17:54
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.19%EV -8.74%E -4.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.55%EV -5.49%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:24
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:40
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:55
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.33%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.66%EV -11.55%E -3.96%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.01%EV -10.60%E -2.96%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 18:19
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.07%E -0.959%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:25
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:19
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 17:39
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -15.18%E -5.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.33%EV -12.32%E -6.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.49%EV -13.67%E -4.80%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-08 18:19
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -12.77%E -6.55%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:25
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -12.77%E -6.55%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 18:24
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.37%EV -13.21%E -6.81%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.84%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -11.35%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 17:54
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.11%EV -13.66%E -7.08%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.02%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 18:24
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -14.55%E -7.62%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -15.18%E -5.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-08 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -14.55%E -7.62%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -12.76%E -4.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -20.09%E -6.28%K -9.13%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.44%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-05-08 18:20
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-05-08 18:24