L’École des cotes

Pescara v Bari

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 18:48 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pescara (Local)

Prévision 42.00%2.38cote équitable
EV -5.08%
Avantage -2.25%
Kelly -4.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.68%41.93%42.09%44.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.142.152.2651.28%46.79%46.51%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bari (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.25%3.54cote équitable
EV +4.53%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.68%
Croissance +0.076%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.00%28.19%28.19%30.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.293.353.7034.72%30.36%29.85%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.75%3.36cote équitable
EV -4.80%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.50%29.88%29.72%32.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.553.073.103.2039.22%32.59%32.26%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -8.37%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 18:31
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.12%E -0.321%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 18:43
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -1.12%E -0.321%K -0.450%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -13.72%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 18:35
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -1.12%E -0.321%K -0.450%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 18:38
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 41.79%EV -5.08%E -2.25%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.45%EV -2.82%E -0.819%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.76%EV -8.67%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 18:45
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:31
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:32
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:45
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -12.64%E -6.08%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 18:44
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -12.64%E -6.08%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 18:45
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -12.64%E -6.08%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 18:44
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -12.64%E -6.08%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 18:44
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -12.64%E -6.08%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 18:44
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -12.64%E -6.08%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 18:44
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -12.64%E -6.08%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 18:45
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -12.64%E -6.08%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 18:44
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -12.64%E -6.08%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -13.06%E -6.31%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 18:45
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -16.70%E -5.96%K -9.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 18:44
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -13.48%E -6.54%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 18:44
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -13.48%E -6.54%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 18:45
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -14.32%E -7.02%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 18:44
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -16.70%E -5.96%K -9.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 18:34
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 18:35
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -18.19%E -6.61%K -10.39%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 18:34
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 18:44
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 18:44
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 18:44
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.91%EV -13.90%E -6.78%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.24%EV -18.19%E -6.61%K -10.39%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-08 18:31
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.01%E -3.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-08 18:45
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.77%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 18:44
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.77%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-08 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.77%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-08 18:44
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.77%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-08 18:44
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -13.90%E -6.78%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 18:34
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 41.78%EV -18.10%E -9.28%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.28%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 31.95%EV -24.14%E -9.47%K -15.57%G +0.000%22.8%2026-03-08 18:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.25%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 18:44
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -15.25%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-08 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -18.64%E -6.47%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -14.32%E -4.97%K -7.62%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-08 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-03-08 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-03-08 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-03-08 18:45
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%5.0%2026-03-08 18:35