L’École des cotes

Mantova v Juve Stabia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 14:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mantova (Local)

Prévision 37.07%2.70cote équitable
EV -4.72%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -3.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.67%37.01%37.25%38.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.222.492.502.5745.05%40.22%40.00%38.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Juve Stabia (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.86%3.04cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.395%
Kelly +0.584%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.45%32.90%32.80%35.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.752.743.0839.22%36.42%36.50%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.07%3.33cote équitable
EV -0.783%
Avantage -0.237%
Kelly -0.341%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.64%30.08%29.95%31.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.063.103.3037.04%32.66%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.69%EV -4.72%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.45%EV +1.22%E +0.395%K +0.584%G +0.007%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.85%EV -5.59%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 13:59
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -5.10%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.06%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -5.10%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.06%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 13:59
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -3.06%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 13:59
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.20%EV -6.95%E -2.77%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.09%EV -4.37%E -1.50%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -8.60%E -2.83%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:59
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.37%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 14:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 14:00
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.66%EV -6.58%E -2.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.38%EV -2.89%E -0.894%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 13:59
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 13:59
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -8.06%E -3.25%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 13:58
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 13:59
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.06%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.63%EV -5.69%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -6.34%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.34%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:00
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.34%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 14:00
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -8.06%E -3.25%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.82%EV -7.33%E -2.60%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 14:00
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -8.06%E -3.25%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.82%EV -7.33%E -2.60%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 14:00
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 13:58
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 14:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 13:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 13:59
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 13:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.03%E -4.59%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -13.41%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 14:00
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.03%E -4.59%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -13.41%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 14:00
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 14:00
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 13:59
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.69%EV -12.14%E -5.12%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.72%EV -10.29%E -3.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.58%EV -9.20%E -3.05%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 13:59
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 13:59
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -11.03%E -4.59%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-08 14:00
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 38.72%EV -17.70%E -7.97%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.84%EV -11.27%E -4.17%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.44%EV -12.21%E -4.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-08 14:00
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -12.92%E -4.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -12.92%E -4.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.77%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.78%EV -12.92%E -4.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.45%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-08 13:59
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -13.57%E -5.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:00
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -13.57%E -5.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -13.57%E -5.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -13.57%E -5.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 13:49
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -13.57%E -5.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -13.57%E -5.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -13.57%E -5.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -13.57%E -5.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:00
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -13.57%E -5.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -13.57%E -5.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -13.57%E -5.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:00
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -13.57%E -5.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 13:59
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -13.90%E -5.31%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -13.90%E -5.31%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 14:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -5.47%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -11.03%E -4.59%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-08 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.77%EV -11.03%E -4.59%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.22%EV -17.32%E -6.30%K -9.90%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-08 14:00
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.05%EV -16.59%E -7.37%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.07%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -18.82%E -6.97%K -11.07%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-08 14:00
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -16.20%E -6.35%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.98%2.5%2026-03-08 14:00