La scuola delle quote

Mantova v Avellino

Inizio: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

Finale: Mantova 0–2 Avellino

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Mantova (Casa)

Previsione 40.21%2.49quota equa
EV -3.09%
Vantaggio -1.28%
Kelly -2.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.77%40.25%40.24%42.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.082.252.252.4148.08%44.46%44.44%41.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Avellino (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.93%3.46quota equa
EV +0.085%
Vantaggio +0.025%
Kelly +0.034%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.54%28.95%28.83%30.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.153.153.4634.72%31.75%31.75%28.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.86%3.24quota equa
EV -2.78%
Vantaggio -0.883%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.85%30.80%30.93%32.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.013.003.1536.36%33.27%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 40.17%EV -3.09%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.98%EV +0.085%E +0.025%K +0.034%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.85%EV -6.18%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 12:40
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -5.91%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -3.10%E -0.924%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.64%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 12:49
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -5.91%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -3.10%E -0.924%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.64%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 12:50
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 40.64%EV -8.72%E -3.84%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -3.10%E -0.924%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:50
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 40.64%EV -8.72%E -3.84%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -3.10%E -0.924%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:49
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.52%E -3.27%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -3.96%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:50
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.98%EV -4.30%E -1.81%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 12:39
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.49%E -1.46%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:40
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -5.51%E -2.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 12:39
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.52%E -3.27%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -12.04%E -4.22%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:40
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.51%E -2.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 12:49
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.94%EV -6.71%E -2.89%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:40
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.94%EV -6.71%E -2.89%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -8.03%E -2.69%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:40
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -12.34%E -5.66%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:20
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -12.34%E -5.66%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:20
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -12.34%E -5.66%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:19
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -12.34%E -5.66%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:20
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -12.34%E -5.66%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:20
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -12.34%E -5.66%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:20
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -12.34%E -5.66%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:20
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -12.34%E -5.66%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:20
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -12.34%E -5.66%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:20
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -12.34%E -5.66%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.53%E -4.23%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -12.74%E -5.87%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:20
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.52%E -3.27%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 12:49
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -13.15%E -6.09%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:20
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -13.15%E -6.09%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -2.78%E -0.883%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.52%E -3.27%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.04%E -4.22%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 12:50
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -13.95%E -6.52%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.54%E -5.24%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 12:39
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.01%EV -14.75%E -6.96%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.39%EV -14.51%E -5.24%K -8.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-18 12:49
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%EV -10.73%E -4.83%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.63%EV -9.75%E -3.13%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.13%EV -11.42%E -3.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:38
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.52%E -3.27%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:50
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.51%E -2.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 12:50
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.52%E -3.27%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:50
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.52%E -3.27%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:49
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -11.54%E -5.24%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.53%E -4.23%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -13.55%E -6.30%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -11.11%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.53%E -4.23%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -11.77%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 12:50
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.30%EV -16.36%E -7.87%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -11.77%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 12:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.52%E -3.27%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 12:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.52%E -3.27%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.52%E -3.27%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 12:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.52%E -3.27%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 12:50
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.52%E -3.27%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.53%E -4.23%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.53%E -4.23%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.53%E -4.23%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -11.54%E -5.24%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -12.04%E -4.22%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 12:40
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -9.53%E -4.23%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -16.11%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.55%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -11.54%E -5.24%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -16.11%E -5.56%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.55%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-18 12:49
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -11.54%E -5.24%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -16.69%E -5.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-04-18 12:50
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-04-18 12:50
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.52%2.5%2026-04-18 12:50