La escuela de los momios

Juve Stabia v US Catanzaro 1929

Inicio: 2026-04-18 17:30 UTC

Final: Juve Stabia 1–1 US Catanzaro 1929

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Juve Stabia (Local)

Predicción 46.96%2.13momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.662%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.71%46.95%46.95%48.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.962.1054.64%51.06%51.15%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante)

Predicción 24.44%4.09momio equitativo
EV +6.56%
Ventaja +1.51%
Kelly +1.95%
Crecimiento +0.128%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.18%24.36%24.44%26.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.723.654.3628.99%26.89%27.40%22.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.60%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -0.809%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.76%28.70%28.61%30.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.31%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.34%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.18%EV +6.56%E +1.51%K +1.95%G +0.128%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.48%EV -6.18%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 17:25
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.43%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +2.65%E +0.631%K +0.829%G +0.022%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 17:19
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.87%EV -8.43%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV +0.207%E +0.051%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -9.04%E -2.84%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 17:25
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -9.37%E -4.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV +0.207%E +0.051%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -10.76%E -3.45%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 17:25
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.77%EV -9.37%E -4.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.207%E +0.051%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 17:25
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.43%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.24%E -0.559%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 17:18
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -10.78%E -5.68%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -2.24%E -0.559%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 17:20
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -2.24%E -0.559%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 17:20
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -3.46%E -0.876%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:05
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 47.03%EV -4.68%E -2.30%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -4.68%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 17:15
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -4.68%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 17:20
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 17:05
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:15
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.43%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:14
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -7.03%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.35%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 17:15
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -7.03%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.35%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 17:15
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -12.19%E -6.52%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -8.35%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 17:15
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.32%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.59%EV -9.32%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -3.32%E -0.983%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 17:25
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 17:15
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.43%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 17:15
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -9.37%E -4.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 17:18
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -8.43%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 17:25
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -7.50%E -3.80%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 17:04
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -7.50%E -3.80%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 17:15
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.97%E -4.06%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.97%E -4.06%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.97%E -4.06%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 17:05
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.97%E -4.06%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 17:05
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.97%E -4.06%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 17:05
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.97%E -4.06%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 17:05
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.97%E -4.06%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 17:05
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.97%E -4.06%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 17:05
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.97%E -4.06%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 17:05
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.00%EV -10.78%E -5.68%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.53%EV -10.47%E -3.35%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 17:15
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.22%EV -11.25%E -5.95%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 17:14
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.59%EV -14.07%E -7.69%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.86%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.55%EV -12.76%E -4.18%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-18 17:15
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -1.39%E -0.662%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.75%E -0.809%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 16:39
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 17:15
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:14
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:14
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.09%E -3.04%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -8.90%E -4.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 17:15
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -8.90%E -4.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -8.90%E -4.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 17:05
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -8.90%E -4.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 17:05
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.43%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.43%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 17:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.43%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 17:15
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.43%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.33%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 17:15
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 46.71%EV -9.84%E -5.13%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -13.24%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 17:05
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 09:00
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -3.74%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 08:59
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.86%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.27%EV -10.31%E -5.40%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -17.62%E -6.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -11.72%E -6.23%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -15.68%E -4.54%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 17:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.81%0.1%2026-04-18 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-04-18 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-04-18 17:25
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-04-18 17:25
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.1%2026-04-18 17:25