L’École des cotes

Frosinone v Sampdoria

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 14:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Frosinone (Local)

Prévision 48.32%2.07cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -4.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.20%48.39%48.35%51.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.911.921.9856.82%52.42%52.08%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sampdoria (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.32%3.95cote équitable
EV +3.80%
Avantage +0.928%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.77%25.29%25.27%26.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.593.554.1030.30%27.83%28.17%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.36%3.79cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.307%
Kelly -0.419%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.41%26.32%26.38%28.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.443.453.7533.33%29.09%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -12.05%E -6.62%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV +3.80%E +0.928%K +1.23%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 14:00
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.50%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.58%EV +2.03%E +0.504%K +0.670%G +0.014%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -6.95%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 13:59
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.76%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV -0.501%E -0.128%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.67%EV -4.58%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 13:59
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.54%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 14:00
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 14:00
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 13:59
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 13:58
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -2.47%E -0.668%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -2.47%E -0.668%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 13:59
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 13:59
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 13:59
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 14:00
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 14:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 13:59
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 13:59
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 13:59
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -1.15%E -0.307%K -0.419%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 13:58
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 14:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%EV -11.09%E -6.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.54%EV -11.09%E -6.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.95%EV -9.36%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.51%EV -11.17%E -3.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 14:00
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.25%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 14:00
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.25%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 13:57
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.25%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 13:59
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.25%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.25%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 14:00
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.25%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 14:00
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.25%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 14:00
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.25%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 14:00
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -6.25%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 13:59
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 13:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.06%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 14:00
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 13:59
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 14:00
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 14:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 14:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-08 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -13.02%E -7.23%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-08 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 48.97%EV -14.47%E -8.17%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.27%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-08 13:59
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 48.57%EV -14.47%E -8.17%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.56%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.87%EV -15.65%E -4.89%K -7.11%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-08 14:00
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-08 14:00
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 13:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -14.33%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -16.45%E -4.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -20.92%E -6.97%K -10.46%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-08 14:00
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 47.59%EV -14.95%E -8.50%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.38%EV -16.45%E -4.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -18.29%E -5.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-08 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%1.3%2026-03-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%1.6%2026-03-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%1.6%2026-03-08 14:00
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%2.8%2026-03-08 14:00