Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Carrarese v Sampdoria

2026-11-08 16:15 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Carrarese (Local)

Predicción 38.09%2.63momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.29%37.98%38.14%39.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.432.452.5547.62%41.16%40.82%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sampdoria (Visitante)

Predicción 32.79%3.05momio equitativo
EV -0.319%
Ventaja -0.105%
Kelly -0.156%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.36%32.82%33.11%35.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.432.712.703.0441.15%36.87%37.04%32.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.12%3.43momio equitativo
EV -3.91%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.25%29.20%28.75%30.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.153.183.3035.09%31.73%31.45%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Carrarese (Local): 38.09%; Sampdoria (Visitante): 32.79%; Empate: 29.12%. Para Sampdoria (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.05. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.04, con un valor esperado de -0.319%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -2.87%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 17:45
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -2.87%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -2.87%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 17:45
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -2.87%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -2.87%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -2.87%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -2.87%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 17:45
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -2.87%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -2.87%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -5.54%E -2.23%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.43%EV -0.319%E -0.105%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.05%EV -7.40%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 17:40
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.55%E -2.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 17:59
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.55%E -2.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 18:29
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.55%E -2.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:50
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 17:35
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 17:35
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -16.39%E -6.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -8.27%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -16.39%E -6.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -8.27%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.71%EV -7.44%E -3.06%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -16.39%E -6.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -8.27%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -7.44%E -3.06%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -18.03%E -7.21%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.4%2026-11-01 17:45
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.96%EV -8.58%E -3.58%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.36%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.58%E -3.58%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 18:00
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.58%E -3.58%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.83%E -3.57%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.58%E -3.58%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -9.34%E -3.93%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.33%EV -5.57%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.56%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:05
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.34%E -3.93%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.83%E -3.57%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.34%E -3.93%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-01 18:30
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.34%E -3.93%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.73%E -4.10%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 18:30
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.73%E -4.10%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -10.49%E -4.46%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-01 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.36%EV -10.49%E -4.46%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 35.16%EV -20.32%E -8.36%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-01 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.80%EV -11.63%E -5.01%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.48%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -14.10%E -4.78%K -7.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 16:46
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -12.39%E -5.39%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -6.55%E -2.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 20:10
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -12.39%E -5.39%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -16.14%E -5.60%K -8.58%G +0.000%15.2%2026-11-01 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.62%EV -14.30%E -6.35%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.19%EV -16.39%E -6.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.19%EV -15.55%E -5.36%K -8.19%G +0.000%18.1%2026-11-01 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.30%EV -20.01%E -9.53%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.74%EV -14.75%E -5.67%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 28.96%EV -17.01%E -5.97%K -9.19%G +0.000%21.2%2026-11-01 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.