La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Lecce v Atalanta BC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lecce (Local)
Predicción 20.38%4.91momio equitativo
EV +8.00%
Ventaja +1.51%
Kelly +1.86%
Crecimiento +0.149%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.12%20.28%20.45%21.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.714.685.3025.64%21.21%21.39%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atalanta BC (Visitante)
Predicción 54.17%1.85momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -4.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.72%54.34%54.07%57.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.691.701.7863.29%59.22%58.82%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.45%3.93momio equitativo
EV +1.06%
Ventaja +0.266%
Kelly +0.355%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.58%25.38%25.47%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.673.703.9732.26%27.23%27.03%25.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV +8.00%E +1.51%K +1.86%G +0.149% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.11%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV +0.547%E +0.138%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV +8.00%E +1.51%K +1.86%G +0.149% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.11%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV +0.547%E +0.138%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV +8.00%E +1.51%K +1.86%G +0.149% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.11%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV +0.547%E +0.138%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV +8.00%E +1.51%K +1.86%G +0.149% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.11%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV +0.547%E +0.138%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| Unibet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +5.97%E +1.15%K +1.42%G +0.085% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -10.62%E -6.44%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 05:49 |
| TABtouch | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +5.97%E +1.15%K +1.42%G +0.085% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -10.62%E -6.44%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| Casumo | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +5.97%E +1.15%K +1.42%G +0.085% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -10.62%E -6.44%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| Grosvenor | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +5.97%E +1.15%K +1.42%G +0.085% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -10.62%E -6.44%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +5.97%E +1.15%K +1.42%G +0.085% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -10.62%E -6.44%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| Bally Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +5.97%E +1.15%K +1.42%G +0.085% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -10.62%E -6.44%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| betPARX | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +5.97%E +1.15%K +1.42%G +0.085% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -10.62%E -6.44%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| 1xBet | 5.11I 19.57%NM 19.27%EV +4.13%E +0.809%K +1.01%G +0.042% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.94%EV -4.67%E -2.65%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.80%EV +1.06%E +0.266%K +0.355%G +0.004% | 1.6% | 2026-03-23 01:54 |
| BetRivers | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +3.93%E +0.770%K +0.958%G +0.038% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.04%EV -11.17%E -6.81%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV +1.89%E +0.378%K +0.473%G +0.009% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.23%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 02:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV +1.89%E +0.378%K +0.473%G +0.009% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.23%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 02:45 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV +1.89%E +0.378%K +0.473%G +0.009% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -13.33%E -8.33%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -0.147%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.77%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -2.00%E -0.519%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -0.147%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.97%EV -14.42%E -9.12%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-18 05:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -0.147%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.97%EV -14.42%E -9.12%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-18 05:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -2.19%E -0.455%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 13:05 |
| FanDuel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.19%E -0.455%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.46%E -5.00%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 13:10 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.20%E -0.675%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.54%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 13:10 |
| Paddy Power | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -3.20%E -0.675%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 13:09 |
| Sky Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -3.20%E -0.675%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -4.22%E -0.899%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.14%EV -3.58%E -2.01%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 18:29 |
| Bovada | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.42%EV -5.24%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -4.54%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 09:54 |
| Pinnacle | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.48%EV -5.45%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.21%EV -4.04%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 09:55 |
| BetUS | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%EV -5.75%E -3.30%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.54%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Bet Victor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.26%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -6.29%E -3.64%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-18 15:28 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.29%E -3.64%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 13:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-18 23:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -8.30%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -12.25%E -7.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-17 13:10 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -9.32%E -2.09%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.58%E -2.01%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-17 13:05 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -9.32%E -2.09%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.58%E -2.01%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-17 13:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.34%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 23:25 |
| theScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.34%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -10.34%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.76%EV -8.46%E -5.00%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.64%E -2.71%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 13:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -10.34%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.08%EV -10.62%E -6.44%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.64%EV -11.42%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-19 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.69%EV -10.34%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.83%EV -14.42%E -9.12%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -13.45%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-23 12:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.29%E -3.64%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.29%E -3.64%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 13:25 |
| 888sport | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.29%E -3.64%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 13:25 |
| William Hill | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.29%E -3.64%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -11.76%E -2.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -12.25%E -7.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -21.09%E -6.80%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-22 15:55 |
| PlayUp | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -12.37%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-23 01:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -12.37%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.81%EV -11.71%E -7.18%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -13.45%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-18 23:25 |
| TAB | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -13.39%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.03%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-19 04:30 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-17 13:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.75%EV -15.43%E -3.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.16%EV -12.25%E -7.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -16.00%E -4.85%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-18 23:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.50%EV -20.53%E -5.26%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.08%EV -14.42%E -9.12%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.41%EV -16.00%E -4.85%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-03-18 23:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.40% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.23% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37% | 16.7% | 2026-03-23 01:24 |